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Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:520) 26% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

呷哺呷哺キャタリングマネジメント(中国)ホールディングス株式会社(HKG:520)の株価が26%急騰しても、完全には説明できない

Simply Wall St ·  05/10 18:37

Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings Co., Ltd. (HKG:520) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the last month did very little to improve the 59% share price decline over the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Hospitality industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:520 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 10th 2024

What Does Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times haven't been great for Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Keen to find out how analysts think Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 25%. Revenue has also lifted 8.5% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 12% per annum over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 16% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings' P/S

Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

When you consider that Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings' revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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