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What Zhejiang Orient Gene Biotech Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:688298) P/S Is Not Telling You

浙江オリエントジーンバイオテク株式会社(SHSE:688298)のP / Sがあなたに伝えていないこと

Simply Wall St ·  04/30 21:00

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 7x in the Biotechs industry in China, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Zhejiang Orient Gene Biotech Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:688298) P/S ratio of 7.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688298 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 1st 2024

How Zhejiang Orient Gene BiotechLtd Has Been Performing

For instance, Zhejiang Orient Gene BiotechLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhejiang Orient Gene BiotechLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Zhejiang Orient Gene BiotechLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 91%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 75% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 201% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zhejiang Orient Gene BiotechLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Zhejiang Orient Gene BiotechLtd's P/S?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We find it unexpected that Zhejiang Orient Gene BiotechLtd trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Zhejiang Orient Gene BiotechLtd that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Zhejiang Orient Gene BiotechLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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