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Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product (SZSE:300952)

江蘇省漢沃安全製品(SZSE:300952)の法定純利益が弱いだけが物語を語らないかもしれません。

Simply Wall St ·  04/28 20:05

A lackluster earnings announcement from Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300952) last week didn't sink the stock price. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:300952 Earnings and Revenue History April 29th 2024

Zooming In On Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product has an accrual ratio of 0.23 for the year to March 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥159m despite its profit of CN¥115.5m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥159m, this year, indicates high risk.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product's Profit Performance

Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product at this point in time. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product, and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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