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Do Its Financials Have Any Role To Play In Driving Zhongtong Bus Holding Co.,LTD's (SZSE:000957) Stock Up Recently?

最近、中通バスホールディング株式会社(SZSE:000957)の株価上昇に財務諸表に何か役割があるのでしょうか?

Simply Wall St ·  04/23 22:40

Zhongtong Bus HoldingLTD's (SZSE:000957) stock is up by a considerable 17% over the past week. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. In this article, we decided to focus on Zhongtong Bus HoldingLTD's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhongtong Bus HoldingLTD is:

2.6% = CN¥70m ÷ CN¥2.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Zhongtong Bus HoldingLTD's Earnings Growth And 2.6% ROE

It is hard to argue that Zhongtong Bus HoldingLTD's ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 7.4%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Zhongtong Bus HoldingLTD was still able to see a decent net income growth of 8.7% over the past five years. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Zhongtong Bus HoldingLTD's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 11% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000957 Past Earnings Growth April 24th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Zhongtong Bus HoldingLTD is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Zhongtong Bus HoldingLTD Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 29% (implying that the company retains 71% of its profits), it seems that Zhongtong Bus HoldingLTD is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Besides, Zhongtong Bus HoldingLTD has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that Zhongtong Bus HoldingLTD has some positive attributes. Namely, its respectable earnings growth, which it achieved due to it retaining most of its profits. However, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for Zhongtong Bus HoldingLTD.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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