share_log

Is China Quanjude(Group) Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002186) Recent Price Movement Underpinned By Its Weak Fundamentals?

中国全聚徳(集团)股份有限公司(SZSE:002186)の最近の株価の動きは、弱いファンダメンタルズによって支えられていますか?

Simply Wall St ·  04/21 21:20

With its stock down 23% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard China Quanjude(Group)Ltd (SZSE:002186). We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Long-term fundamentals are usually what drive market outcomes, so it's worth paying close attention. Particularly, we will be paying attention to China Quanjude(Group)Ltd's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Quanjude(Group)Ltd is:

7.7% = CN¥65m ÷ CN¥841m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.08.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

China Quanjude(Group)Ltd's Earnings Growth And 7.7% ROE

On the face of it, China Quanjude(Group)Ltd's ROE is not much to talk about. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 8.3%. But then again, China Quanjude(Group)Ltd's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 9.6%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

We then compared China Quanjude(Group)Ltd's performance with the industry and found that the company has shrunk its earnings at a slower rate than the industry earnings which has seen its earnings shrink by 22% in the same 5-year period. This does appease the negative sentiment around the company to a certain extent.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002186 Past Earnings Growth April 22nd 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if China Quanjude(Group)Ltd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is China Quanjude(Group)Ltd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

China Quanjude(Group)Ltd doesn't pay any regular dividends, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which doesn't explain why the company's earnings have shrunk if it is retaining all of its profits. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by China Quanjude(Group)Ltd can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 1 risk we have identified for China Quanjude(Group)Ltd by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

これらの内容は、情報提供及び投資家教育のためのものであり、いかなる個別株や投資方法を推奨するものではありません。 更に詳しい情報
    コメントする