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We Think XJ Electric's (SZSE:000400) Robust Earnings Are Conservative

XJ電力(SZSE:000400)の堅調な収益は保守的であると筆者らは考えています。

Simply Wall St ·  04/17 18:44

XJ Electric Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000400) strong earnings report was rewarded with a positive stock price move. We did some digging and found some further encouraging factors that investors will like.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:000400 Earnings and Revenue History April 17th 2024

Zooming In On XJ Electric's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

XJ Electric has an accrual ratio of -0.21 for the year to December 2023. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥2.5b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥1.01b. XJ Electric shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On XJ Electric's Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, XJ Electric produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think XJ Electric's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And the EPS is up 40% annually, over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing XJ Electric at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for XJ Electric you should be aware of.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of XJ Electric's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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