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JinXianDai Information Industry Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300830) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 25% Price Plummet

JinXianDai情報産業株式会社(SZSE:300830)が最近25%の株価下落であまりにも急速に走行した可能性があります

Simply Wall St ·  04/16 20:59

To the annoyance of some shareholders, JinXianDai Information Industry Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300830) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 50% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 72.1x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 29x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For instance, JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300830 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Growth For JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.4% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 71% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 36% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd's P/E?

Even after such a strong price drop, JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd's P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Having said that, be aware JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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