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Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc.'s (NYSE:DFIN) Price Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

ドネリーファイナンシャルソリューションズ(NYSE:DFIN)の株価は収益と調和していません

Simply Wall St ·  04/10 07:17

Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc.'s (NYSE:DFIN) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 17x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Donnelley Financial Solutions has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:DFIN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 10th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Donnelley Financial Solutions will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Growth For Donnelley Financial Solutions?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Donnelley Financial Solutions' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 16% decrease to the company's bottom line. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 7.3% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's alarming that Donnelley Financial Solutions' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Donnelley Financial Solutions currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Donnelley Financial Solutions with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Donnelley Financial Solutions, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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