Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (NYSE:HII) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
What Is Huntington Ingalls Industries's Debt?
As you can see below, Huntington Ingalls Industries had US$2.43b of debt at December 2023, down from US$2.91b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$430.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$2.00b.
NYSE:HII Debt to Equity History March 24th 2024
How Healthy Is Huntington Ingalls Industries' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Huntington Ingalls Industries had liabilities of US$3.03b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$4.09b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$430.0m as well as receivables valued at US$2.18b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$4.51b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Huntington Ingalls Industries has a huge market capitalization of US$11.6b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Huntington Ingalls Industries's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.8 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 13.3 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Sadly, Huntington Ingalls Industries's EBIT actually dropped 2.6% in the last year. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Huntington Ingalls Industries's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Huntington Ingalls Industries recorded free cash flow worth 72% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
Huntington Ingalls Industries's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its EBIT growth rate. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Huntington Ingalls Industries can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Huntington Ingalls Industries , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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