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Optimistic Investors Push Suzhou Everbright Photonics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688048) Shares Up 27% But Growth Is Lacking

楽観的な投資家が、苏州颐泰光电股份有限公司(SHSE:688048)の株式をプッシュし、株価を27%上昇させたが、成長に欠けている。

Simply Wall St ·  03/03 20:25

Suzhou Everbright Photonics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688048) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 27% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 49% over that time.

After such a large jump in price, Suzhou Everbright Photonics' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 27.6x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Semiconductor industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 6.6x and even P/S below 3x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688048 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 4th 2024

What Does Suzhou Everbright Photonics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Suzhou Everbright Photonics could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Suzhou Everbright Photonics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Suzhou Everbright Photonics?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Suzhou Everbright Photonics' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 24%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 18% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 67% as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 20,706% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it concerning that Suzhou Everbright Photonics is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

The strong share price surge has lead to Suzhou Everbright Photonics' P/S soaring as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Suzhou Everbright Photonics, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Suzhou Everbright Photonics that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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