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Jilin Jlu Communication Design Institute Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300597) 27% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

吉林Jluコミュニケーション・デザイン研究所株式有限会社(SZSE:300597)の株価が27%下落したことは、いくらかのリスクを示唆している可能性がある

Simply Wall St ·  02/02 17:18

The Jilin Jlu Communication Design Institute Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300597) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 22% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Jilin Jlu Communication Design InstituteLtd's P/S ratio of 3.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the IT industry in China is also close to 3.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300597 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024

How Has Jilin Jlu Communication Design InstituteLtd Performed Recently?

It looks like revenue growth has deserted Jilin Jlu Communication Design InstituteLtd recently, which is not something to boast about. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to only match most other companies at best over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. If not, then existing shareholders may be feeling hopeful about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Jilin Jlu Communication Design InstituteLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Jilin Jlu Communication Design InstituteLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Jilin Jlu Communication Design InstituteLtd would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. That's essentially a continuation of what we've seen over the last three years, as its revenue growth has been virtually non-existent for that entire period. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has definitely eluded the company recently.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 44% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Jilin Jlu Communication Design InstituteLtd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What Does Jilin Jlu Communication Design InstituteLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

Jilin Jlu Communication Design InstituteLtd's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Jilin Jlu Communication Design InstituteLtd's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

Having said that, be aware Jilin Jlu Communication Design InstituteLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit concerning.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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