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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Jiangsu Guotai International Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002091) Low P/E

なぜ投資家は江蘇国泰国際集団股份有限公司(SZSE:002091)の低いP / Eに驚かないべきなのか

Simply Wall St ·  01/18 20:46

Jiangsu Guotai International Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002091) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.7x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 33x and even P/E's above 59x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Jiangsu Guotai International Group as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Jiangsu Guotai International Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002091 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 19th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Jiangsu Guotai International Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Jiangsu Guotai International Group would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 19% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 94% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 16% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 43%, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that Jiangsu Guotai International Group's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Jiangsu Guotai International Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Guotai International Group (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Jiangsu Guotai International Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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