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Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600280) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

南京中央百货股份有限公司(SHSE: 600280)の投資家は、予想よりも悲観的ではありません。

Simply Wall St ·  01/17 18:55

It's not a stretch to say that Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600280) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Multiline Retail industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600280 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 17th 2024

What Does Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 6.9% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 47% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 72% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks' P/S?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We find it unexpected that Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks (at least 1 which is a bit concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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