With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.8x National Fuel Gas Company (NYSE:NFG) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 17x and even P/E's higher than 32x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
National Fuel Gas has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for National Fuel Gas
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on National Fuel Gas.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as National Fuel Gas' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 16% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 12% each year during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 12% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it odd that National Fuel Gas is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On National Fuel Gas' P/E
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that National Fuel Gas currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with National Fuel Gas.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than National Fuel Gas. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
National Fuel Gas Company(NYSE:NFG)の株価収益率(P/E)比が9.8倍であることから、アメリカの全企業の約半数が17倍以上のP/E比を持っており、32倍以上のP/E比も珍しくないことを考えると、現状、強気のシグナルを送っている可能性があります。しかし、削減されたP/Eに合理的な根拠があるかどうかを判断するために、もう少し掘り下げる必要があるでしょう。
National Fuel Gasは、他の多くの企業よりも収益が急速に減少しているため、最近は苦戦しているようです。多くの人々が、極めて不振な収益性が持続すると予想しているため、P/Eは抑圧されています。もし企業にまだ好感を持っているなら、株価に関する何らかの決定をする前に、収益の軌道が振り向くことを望むでしょう。そうでなければ、既存株主は株価の今後の方向に興奮するのに苦労することになるでしょう。
National Fuel Gasが現在、予測された成長が市場と同じであるため、予想よりも低いP/Eで取引されていることがわかりました。市場的な成長率と平均的な収益見通しを見ると、潜在的なリスクがP/E比に圧力をかけていると仮定しています。将来の収益の不安定性を予想する人々が少なからずいるようです。これらの条件は、株価をさらに支えるべきですが、それが実現していないようです。