What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Haitian International Holdings (HKG:1882) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Haitian International Holdings:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.12 = CN¥2.4b ÷ (CN¥28b - CN¥7.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).
So, Haitian International Holdings has an ROCE of 12%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 7.4% generated by the Machinery industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Haitian International Holdings
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Haitian International Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Haitian International Holdings here for free.
What Can We Tell From Haitian International Holdings' ROCE Trend?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Haitian International Holdings, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 22%, but since then they've fallen to 12%. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
On a related note, Haitian International Holdings has decreased its current liabilities to 26% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
The Bottom Line On Haitian International Holdings' ROCE
From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for Haitian International Holdings have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. Investors must expect better things on the horizon though because the stock has risen 37% in the last five years. Either way, we aren't huge fans of the current trends and so with that we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
While Haitian International Holdings doesn't shine too bright in this respect, it's still worth seeing if the company is trading at attractive prices. You can find that out with our FREE intrinsic value estimation on our platform.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
長期的に価値が増大する可能性のある株を識別するためには、どのようなトレンドに注目すればよいでしょうか?まず、増え続ける資本利回り(ROCE)を識別し、それと並行してますます増加する資本の土台を確認する必要があります。つまり、会社には継続的に再投資できる収益性の高い主導的イニシアチブがあるということで、これは累積的機械会社の性格です。しかし、数値を簡単に見ると、私たちは海天国際控股(HKG:1882)が今後マルチバガーの材料を備えているとは考えていませんが、その理由を見てみましょう。資本割合に対する投資収益率(ROCE)とそれに伴う投資資本の増加を見つけた場合、市場で価値が増大する可能性のある株を識別することができます。売上高の増加に alongside して、資本の拡大を識別する必要があります。資本を拡大するプロセスを基礎から理解することが重要です。Haitian International Holdings(HKG:1882)がマルチバッガーになる材料を備えていない理由を見てみましょう。