The Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings Limited (HKG:3366) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 38%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 60% loss during that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Real Estate industry in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 0.7x and even P/S above 3x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings
SEHK:3366 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 1st 2023
How Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings Has Been Performing
Revenue has risen firmly for Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this respectable revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 11% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 14% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 18% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings' P/S?
The southerly movements of Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
Having said that, be aware Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit concerning.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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