The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (SGX:NS8U) Shareholders as Stock Falls 3.3% Over the Past Week
By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (SGX:NS8U) shareholders have seen the share price rise 75% over three years, well in excess of the market return (12%, not including dividends).
Although Hutchison Port Holdings Trust has shed US$52m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
View our latest analysis for Hutchison Port Holdings Trust
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the three years of share price growth, Hutchison Port Holdings Trust actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 2.0% per year.
Companies are not always focussed on EPS growth in the short term, and looking at how the share price has reacted, we don't think EPS is the most important metric for Hutchison Port Holdings Trust at the moment. So other metrics may hold the key to understanding what is influencing investors.
Interestingly, the dividend has increased over time; so that may have given the share price a boost. Sometimes yield-chasing investors will flock to a company if they think the dividend can grow over time. On top of that, revenue grew at a rate of 4.3% per year, and it's likely investors interpret that as pointing to a brighter future.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Hutchison Port Holdings Trust the TSR over the last 3 years was 123%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
Investors in Hutchison Port Holdings Trust had a tough year, with a total loss of 14% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 2.1%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 0.9%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Hutchison Port Holdings Trust better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Singaporean exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
企業は常に短期的なEPSの成長に焦点を当てているわけではありません。株価が反応した方法を見ると、私たちはHutchison Port Holdings TrustにおいてEPSが最も重要なメトリックではないと考えています。そのため、他のメトリックが投資家に影響を与えている原因を理解するための鍵となる可能性があります。
株価リターンを計測するだけでなく、総株主リターン(TSR)も考慮すべきです。 TSRは、現金配当の価値(再投資された配当がある場合)と割引資本調達や分割時の価値を加味するリターン計算です。株式によって生み出されるリターンのより包括的なイメージを提供すると主張できます。 Hutchison Port Holdings Trustの過去3年間のTSRは123%であり、上述の株価リターンよりも良好です。会社から支払われた配当は、このように盛り上げられました。合計株主還元。
異なる視点
Hutchison Port Holdings Trustの株主は、配当を含めた総損失率が14%で、市場利益が約2.1%である困難な年を過ごしました。良い株価が落ちることもあるが、興味を持つ前に企業の基本的指標の改善を見たい。長期投資家は5年で年率0.9%を稼いでいるので、そこまで動揺しないと考えられる。最近の売り込みが機会である可能性があるため、長期成長トレンドの兆候を示す基本データを確認する価値がある。長期的な株価パフォーマンスを追跡するのはいつも興味深い。しかし、Hutchison Port Holdings Trustをよりよく理解するために、他の多くの要因を考慮する必要がある。たとえば、我々は発見した。ハチソン・ポート・ホールディング・トラストの3つの警告サイン(1は少し不快です!)投資する前に知っておくべきことです。