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Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:FEDU) Stock Rockets 29% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St ·  2023/04/17 08:43

Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:FEDU) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 32% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Four Seasons Education (Cayman)'s P/S ratio of 1.8x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Consumer Services industry in the United States is also close to 1.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Four Seasons Education (Cayman)

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:FEDU Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2023

What Does Four Seasons Education (Cayman)'s Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Four Seasons Education (Cayman)'s financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Four Seasons Education (Cayman) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Four Seasons Education (Cayman)'s Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Four Seasons Education (Cayman)'s is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 73%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 77% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 8.8% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Four Seasons Education (Cayman) is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Four Seasons Education (Cayman)'s P/S?

Four Seasons Education (Cayman) appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our look at Four Seasons Education (Cayman) revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Four Seasons Education (Cayman) (2 are a bit concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Four Seasons Education (Cayman), explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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