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What Does Casella Waste Systems, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CWST) Share Price Indicate?

Simply Wall St ·  2022/09/22 09:11

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CWST), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGS. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company's outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let's take a look at Casella Waste Systems's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Casella Waste Systems

What's The Opportunity In Casella Waste Systems?

According to my valuation model, Casella Waste Systems seems to be fairly priced at around 1.5% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Casella Waste Systems today, you'd be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe the company's true value is $83.02, then there isn't much room for the share price grow beyond what it's currently trading. In addition to this, Casella Waste Systems has a low beta, which suggests its share price is less volatile than the wider market.

Can we expect growth from Casella Waste Systems?

earnings-and-revenue-growthNasdaqGS:CWST Earnings and Revenue Growth September 22nd 2022

Future outlook is an important aspect when you're looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Casella Waste Systems' earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 48%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? CWST's optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on CWST, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it's worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. You'd be interested to know, that we found 3 warning signs for Casella Waste Systems and you'll want to know about them.

If you are no longer interested in Casella Waste Systems, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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