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Joy Kie Corporation Limited's (SZSE:300994) Shares Leap 33% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

ジョイ・キエ・コーポレーション株式会社(SZSE:300994)の株価が33%上昇したが、まだ完全な物語を伝えていない

Simply Wall St ·  05/10 18:27

Despite an already strong run, Joy Kie Corporation Limited (SZSE:300994) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 33% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 12% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, Joy Kie's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.6x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 33x and even P/E's above 63x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Joy Kie hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300994 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 10th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Joy Kie will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Growth For Joy Kie?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Joy Kie's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 15%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 47% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 25% per year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 25% per year, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Joy Kie's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Joy Kie's P/E

Despite Joy Kie's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Joy Kie currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Joy Kie that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Joy Kie's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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