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Sun Hing Printing Holdings Limited's (HKG:1975) 29% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

サン・ヒン・プリンティング・ホールディングス・リミテッド(HKG:1975)の株価は29%急騰していますが、まだ納得できません。

Simply Wall St ·  05/03 18:17

Those holding Sun Hing Printing Holdings Limited (HKG:1975) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 29% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 58% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Sun Hing Printing Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in Hong Kong's Commercial Services industry. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1975 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 3rd 2024

How Sun Hing Printing Holdings Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Sun Hing Printing Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Sun Hing Printing Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Sun Hing Printing Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 47% decrease to the company's top line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 15% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 8.6% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Sun Hing Printing Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On Sun Hing Printing Holdings' P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Sun Hing Printing Holdings' P/S is back within range of the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Sun Hing Printing Holdings' average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Sun Hing Printing Holdings that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Sun Hing Printing Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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