The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that CK Life Sciences Int'l., (Holdings) Inc. (HKG:775) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
How Much Debt Does CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) had HK$5.42b in debt in December 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it also had HK$676.2m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$4.75b.
How Healthy Is CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings)'s Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) had liabilities of HK$2.10b due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$4.96b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$676.2m and HK$967.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling HK$5.42b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's HK$3.80b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Weak interest cover of 0.72 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 12.5 hit our confidence in CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. More concerning, CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) saw its EBIT drop by 6.7% in the last twelve months. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
On the face of it, CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings)'s net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its interest cover was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) (at least 2 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.