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There's Reason For Concern Over Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600819) Massive 42% Price Jump

上海遥華ピルキントングラスグループ株式会社が心配な理由があります。」s (SHE: 600819) 42% という大幅な価格急上昇

Simply Wall St ·  03/08 17:18

Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600819) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 42% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 24% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group's P/S ratio of 0.8x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Basic Materials industry in China is also close to 1.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600819 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024

How Has Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group Performed Recently?

The revenue growth achieved at Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group?

Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 12% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 29% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What Does Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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