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The Price Is Right For Lumentum Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:LITE)

ルメンタム・ホールディングス(NASDAQ:LITE)の価格は適切です。

Simply Wall St ·  02/15 12:28

Lumentum Holdings Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LITE) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Communications industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 1.2x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:LITE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 15th 2024

How Lumentum Holdings Has Been Performing

Lumentum Holdings could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Lumentum Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Lumentum Holdings?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Lumentum Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 21% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 15% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 8.0% during the coming year according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 1.0% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Lumentum Holdings is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Lumentum Holdings' P/S?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Lumentum Holdings maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Communications industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Lumentum Holdings that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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