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Further Weakness as Caissa Tosun DevelopmentLtd (SZSE:000796) Drops 7.9% This Week, Taking Three-year Losses to 68%

今週、Caissa Tosun DevelopmentLtd(SZSE:000796)はさらに弱く、7.9%下落し、3年間の損失は68%になりました。

Simply Wall St ·  03/28 03:41

If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. Long term Caissa Tosun Development Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000796) shareholders know that all too well, since the share price is down considerably over three years. Unfortunately, they have held through a 68% decline in the share price in that time. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 43% lower in that time. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 20% in the last 90 days.

Since Caissa Tosun DevelopmentLtd has shed CN¥433m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

Given that Caissa Tosun DevelopmentLtd didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

In the last three years Caissa Tosun DevelopmentLtd saw its revenue shrink by 63% per year. That's definitely a weaker result than most pre-profit companies report. Arguably, the market has responded appropriately to this business performance by sending the share price down 19% (annualized) in the same time period. When revenue is dropping, and losses are still costing, and the share price sinking fast, it's fair to ask if something is remiss. After losing money on a declining business with falling stock price, we always consider whether eager bagholders are still offering us a reasonable exit price.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000796 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 28th 2024

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 15% in the twelve months, Caissa Tosun DevelopmentLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 43%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 11% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Caissa Tosun DevelopmentLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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