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Shanghai Highly (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600619) Shares Fly 25% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

上海高科(グループ)株式会社(SHSE:600619)は25%急騰していますが、成長を見込んだ投資家は購入していません

Simply Wall St ·  03/06 18:17

Those holding Shanghai Highly (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600619) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 25% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 11% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, Shanghai Highly (Group) may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.7x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600619 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

What Does Shanghai Highly (Group)'s Recent Performance Look Like?

The revenue growth achieved at Shanghai Highly (Group) over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai Highly (Group)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Shanghai Highly (Group)'s P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.7% gain to the company's revenues. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 72% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 27% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Shanghai Highly (Group) is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Key Takeaway

Shanghai Highly (Group)'s recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Shanghai Highly (Group) confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Highly (Group) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shanghai Highly (Group)'s business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

これらの内容は、情報提供及び投資家教育のためのものであり、いかなる個別株や投資方法を推奨するものではありません。 更に詳しい情報
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