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Cathie Wood Said Powell's 'Sledgehammer' To 'Slay' Inflation Way More Powerful Than Volcker's In 1980s: 'Fed Could Undermine Its Legacy'

Cathie Wood Said Powell's 'Sledgehammer' To 'Slay' Inflation Way More Powerful Than Volcker's In 1980s: 'Fed Could Undermine Its Legacy'

凯西·伍德说,鲍威尔的 “大锤” 比 1980 年代沃尔克的 “消灭” 通货膨胀强大得多:“美联储可能会破坏其遗产”
Benzinga Real-time News ·  2023/01/30 20:31  · 市场

Cathie Wood, the founder of ARK Investment Management, said that the prevailing U.S. monetary policy in September was significantly more restrictive than in the 1980s when, to kill inflation, former Federal Reserve Chair Paul Volcker had pushed the Fed funds rate up two-fold from 10% to 20%.

方舟投资管理公司的创始人凯西·伍德说,美国9月份的主流货币政策比上世纪80年代的货币政策要严格得多,当时为了抑制通胀,前美联储主席保罗·沃尔克将联邦基金利率从10%推高了两倍,至20%。

In comparison, Jerome Powell and his team have increased it 13-fold from 0.25% to 3.25% to "slay the dragon," Wood said.

相比之下,杰罗姆·鲍威尔和他的团队将税率从0.25%提高到3.25%,提高了13倍,伍德说。

By the time this Fed tackled the current surge, inflation had been brewing for ~15 months, not 15 years. Now, it is 'keeping at it' with a sledgehammer 13 times more powerful than the one Volcker wielded in the ‘80s, she said.

到美联储应对当前的飙升时,通胀已经酝酿了大约15个月,而不是15年。她说,现在,沃尔克正在用一把比沃尔克在80年代挥舞的大锤强大13倍的大锤子继续前进。

Yield Surge: Wood also pointed out that under Volcker, Treasury yields rose 1.6 times, from 10% to 16%, while under Powell, it has been a whopping 7.4 times. “Risk aversion is pummelling all assets except cash, but the Fed seems fixated on hiking rates another 100+ basis points to protect its legacy,” she tweeted.

收益率飙升:伍德还指出,在沃尔克的领导下,美国国债收益率上涨了1.6倍,从10%上升到16%,而在鲍威尔的领导下,国债收益率达到了惊人的7.4倍。她在推特上写道:“避险情绪正在重创除现金以外的所有资产,但美联储似乎专注于再加息100+个基点,以保护其遗产。”

What Wood seemed to underscore was the accentuated tightening in yields which was not in line even with a rising interest rate regime. Bond markets tend to have a bad phase when interest rates are rising, but such a surge in yields is taking a heavy toll on the fixed income industry.

伍德似乎强调的是收益率的加剧收紧,这甚至与利率上升的制度不符。当利率上升时,债券市场往往会有一个糟糕的阶段,但这样的收益率飙升正在给固定收益行业带来沉重的损失。

Meanwhile, commodity prices, as measured by Refinitiv’s CRB index, have dropped ~42% since their peak in mid-2008, ~25% since their lower peak in 2011, and ~19% since an even lower peak earlier this year, Wood tweeted.

与此同时,伍德在推特上写道,根据Refinitiv的CRB指数衡量,大宗商品价格较2008年年中的峰值下跌了约42%,较2011年的较低峰值下跌了约25%,较今年早些时候的更低峰值下跌了约19%。

Her comments come amid a bloodbath in global stock and commodity markets, triggered by the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hikes and projections.

她发表此番言论之际,美联储(Fed)激进的加息和预测引发了全球股市和大宗商品市场的大屠杀。

The $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ has lost nearly 25% in the last six months.

这个$纳斯达克综合指数 (.IXIC.US)$在过去的六个月里损失了近25%。

Dollar Dilemma: Wood also explained how the dollar’s parabolic move has been devastating to the rest of the world and should come back to bite U.S. competitiveness, jobs, and economic activity, forcing the Fed to pivot.

美元困境:伍德还解释了美元的抛物线走势如何对世界其他地区造成了毁灭性的影响,应该会对美国的竞争力、就业和经济活动造成负面影响,迫使美联储转向美元。

Last week, Japan sold dollars to protect their currencies against a parabolic dollar that is causing significant harm to the global economy, she tweeted.

她在推特上写道,上周,日本抛售美元以保护本国货币不受抛物线美元的影响,抛物线美元正在对全球经济造成重大损害。

Price Action: The $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$, which tracks the S&P 500 had lost over 23% since the beginning of the year until Sept.26, 2022. The largest ETF, which was founded in 1993 and is set to turn 30 in January 2023, held assets to the tune of over $331 billion. Since its inception, the fund has given an annual return of 9.73% as of the end-August data.

价格行为:$SPDR 标普500指数ETF (SPY.US)$从年初到2022年9月26日,跟踪标准普尔500指数的公司已经下跌了23%以上。最大的ETF成立于1993年,2023年1月将满30岁,持有超过3310亿美元的资产。自成立以来,截至8月底的数据,该基金的年回报率为9.73%。

In comparison, Cathie Wood’s $ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK.US)$ had lost over 61% since the beginning of the year until Sept. 26, 2022.

相比之下,凯西·伍德的$ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK.US)$从年初到9月1日,跌幅超过了61%。2022年26年。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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