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7 Stocks to Sell in October

7 Stocks to Sell in October

10月份将出售7只股票
InvestorPlace ·  2022/09/30 12:47

InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips

InvestorPlace-股票市场新闻、股票建议和交易提示

Stocks to sell is a necessary discussion. Although it may feel good to remain loyal to an organization in the hopes of a substantial turnaround, it's time to let go of some of the weaker entities.

出售股票是一个必要的讨论。虽然保持对一个组织的忠诚度,希望能有实质性的转机,感觉可能很好,但现在是时候放弃一些实力较弱的实体了。

Fundamentally, the Federal Reserve plays an incredibly significant role in the red ink. With the central bank raising the key benchmark interest rate, borrowing costs increased, thereby hurting risk-on sentiments. For instance, heading into the final day of trading in September, the S&P 500 slipped 24% on a year-to-date basis. Therefore, it's prudent to consider certain stocks to sell.

从根本上说,美联储在赤字中扮演着令人难以置信的重要角色。随着央行上调关键基准利率,借贷成本上升,从而损害了冒险情绪。例如,进入9月份交易的最后一天,标准普尔500指数与年初至今相比,下跌了24%。因此,考虑出售某些股票是谨慎的。

In addition, InvestorPlace's Louis Navellier probably said it best regarding troubled corporate entities. Essentially, their problems become your problems if you acquire their securities. The point about stocks to sell isn't about "hating" on certain companies. Rather, you want to keep your portfolio drama free heading into a contentious October.

此外,InvestorPlace‘s路易斯·纳维利耶可能说,对于陷入困境的公司实体来说,这是最好的选择。从本质上讲,如果你收购了他们的证券,他们的问题就变成了你的问题。卖出股票的重点不是“讨厌”某些公司。相反,你想让你的投资组合不受影响地进入充满争议的10月份。

NKE Nike $83.83 ANF Abercrombie & Fitch $15.75 LYFT Lyft $13.54 SKT Tanger Factory Outlet $13.68 RDFN Redfin $5.86 KBH KB Home $26.17 OPEN Opendoor $3.10
Nke Nike$83.83 ANF Abercrombie&Fitch$15.75 Lyft Lyft$13.54 SKT Tanger Factory Outlet$13.68 RDFN Redfin$5.86 KBH KB Home$26.17 Open OpenDoor$3.10

Nike (NKE)

耐克(Nike)

Source: Shutterstock
消息来源:Shutterstock

Prior to the fiscal first-quarter earnings report for Nike (NYSE:NKE), I mentioned that Wall Street was waiting anxiously for the results. While the general consensus appeared pessimistic due to a range of macroeconomic headwinds impacting NKE, some analysts broadcasted optimism. Because Nike commanded a global branding powerhouse, some data points suggested that it could pull off a positive surprise.

在财年第一季度收益报告之前耐克(纽约证券交易所股票代码:NKE),我提到华尔街正在焦急地等待结果。尽管由于一系列宏观经济逆风影响NKE,人们的普遍共识似乎很悲观,但一些分析师表达了乐观情绪。由于耐克是全球品牌巨头,一些数据点表明,它可能会带来一个积极的惊喜。

Unfortunately, those folks were wrong. According to the Wall Street Journal, Nike reported that "inventories rose 44% to $9.7 billion in the latest quarter." In addition, "higher discounts and freight costs squeezed profit margins." Further, Nike executives mentioned that they had to mark down more goods heading into the holidays.

不幸的是,这些人错了。根据《华尔街日报》根据Nike的报告,最近一个季度库存增加44%,至97亿美元。此外,“较高的折扣和运费挤压了利润率.”此外,耐克高管还提到,他们不得不在假期前对更多商品降价。

In the open market following the Sept. 29 disclosure, NKE finished the day down 3.4%. However, in the afterhours session, it slipped nearly 9%. Frankly, it might be time to call the athletic apparel giant one of the top stocks to sell.

在9·11事件后的公开市场上。29日披露,NKE收盘下跌3.4%。然而,在盘后交易中,该指数下跌了近9%。坦率地说,现在可能是时候将这家运动服装巨头称为最值得出售的股票之一了。

If any company could have beat the discretionary consumer sector blues, it was Nike. It failed. It's time to face reality.

如果说有哪家公司能够战胜非必需消费品行业的低迷,那就是耐克。它失败了。是时候面对现实了。

Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF)

Abercrombie&Fitch(ANF)

Source: Shutterstock
消息来源:Shutterstock

One of the most popular apparel companies in the 1990s and 2000s, Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE:ANF) long tied in to youth culture. Before digitalization took over everything, the cool kids wore Abercrombie & Fitch. Today, the younger folks, including those in Generation Z, don't really care about name brands. As this demographic grew older, young adult consumer behaviors shifted.

20世纪90年代和21世纪头10年最受欢迎的服装公司之一,Abercrombie&Fitch(纽约证券交易所股票代码:ANF)长期与青年文化捆绑在一起。在数字化占领一切之前,酷孩子们穿的是Abercrombie&Fitch。如今,包括Z世代在内的年轻人并不真正关心名牌。随着这一群体年龄的增长,年轻人的消费行为发生了变化。

Unfortunately, it shifted in the wrong direction for Abercrombie & Fitch. Over the trailing five years, ANF only gained a bit under 7%. Since the start of this year, shares hemorrhaged 56% of market value. Circumstances will likely worsen for ANF moving forward.

不幸的是,对于Abercrombie&Fitch来说,它转向了错误的方向。在过去的五年里,ANF的收益仅略低于7%。自今年年初以来,该公司股票市值缩水56%。ANF继续前进的情况可能会恶化。

In late August, the company stated "it lost $16.83 million, or 33 cents a share, in its second quarter, compared to a net income of $108.5 million, or $1.69 a share, in the year-ago quarter," according to MarketWatch.

该公司在8月下旬表示,“第二季度亏损1683万美元,合每股亏损33美分,而去年同期的净收益为1.085亿美元,合每股1.69美元。”市场观察.

Now that almighty Nike struggled to resonate with hard-hit consumers, it's probably time to consider ANF as one of the stocks to sell, as well.

既然万能的耐克难以在遭受重创的消费者中引起共鸣,那么现在可能也是时候考虑将ANF作为出售的股票之一了。

Lyft (LYFT)

Lyft(Lyft)

Source: OpturaDesign / Shutterstock.com
来源:OpturaDesign/Shutterstock.com

Although companies like Lyft (NASDAQ:LYFT) helped spark the ride-sharing revolution, the underlying industry is presenting us with worrying vulnerabilities. Honestly, the phenomenon must be driving urban survivalists crazy. After all, using an app as a trust mechanism for someone you don't know presents incredible security issues. Sadly, we're finding this out now with Lyft.

尽管公司喜欢Lyft尽管纳斯达克(Didi Chuxing:LYFT)帮助引发了拼车革命,但基础行业正在向我们展示令人担忧的漏洞。老实说,这种现象一定会让城市生存主义者抓狂。毕竟,将应用程序用作陌生人的信任机制会带来令人难以置信的安全问题。遗憾的是,我们现在正在与Lyft一起发现这一点。

According to NPR, Lyft faces "17 new lawsuits brought by users of its service from around the country, who claim the company failed to protect passengers and drivers from physical and [prurient] assault." You can read the details yourself but the main point is that ride sharing presents risks. The lawsuits represent a significant reason to consider LYFT as one of the stocks to sell.

根据国家公共电台,Lyft面临着来自全国各地的17起由其服务用户提起的新诉讼,他们声称该公司未能保护乘客和司机免受身体和[性欲强]你可以自己阅读细节,但重点是拼车存在风险。这些诉讼代表了考虑将Lyft作为出售股票之一的重要原因。

The other stems from rival Uber (NYSE:UBER). While Uber features a far more aggressive financial profile than Lyft – retained earnings loss for Uber is $32 billion versus $8.9 billion for Lyft – the former's expansionary efforts could effectively monopolize the ride-sharing business. Therefore, LYFT risks relevance loss, making it one of the candidates for stocks to sell.

另一种源于竞争对手优步(Uber)(纽约证券交易所代码:Uber)。虽然优步的财务状况比Lyft激进得多--优步的留存收益损失为320亿美元,而Lyft的留存收益损失为89亿美元--但前者的扩张努力可能实际上垄断了拼车业务。因此,Lyft面临相关性损失的风险,使其成为出售股票的候选者之一。

Tanger Factory Outlet (SKT)

丹吉尔工厂门店(SKT)

Source: Vitalii Vodolazskyi / Shutterstock
来源:Vitalii Vodolazskyi/Shutterstock

A shopping center-focused real estate investment trust (or REIT), Tanger Factory Outlet (NYSE:SKT) represents an idea for stocks to sell that I'm borrowing from InvestorPlace contributor Ian Bezek. As Bezek mentioned, Tanger's business model featured extraordinary relevance about two decades ago.

一家专注于购物中心的房地产投资信托基金(REIT),丹吉尔工厂门店(纽约证券交易所代码:SKT)代表了一种出售股票的想法,我正在向它借钱投资商位置撰稿人伊恩·比泽克。正如贝泽克提到的,坦格的商业模式在大约20年前就具有非同寻常的相关性。

Operators in the shopping center category "would build a major shopping destination in a tourist area or along a major highway in between two big cities. People would go to the outlet center and get bargains that weren't available at shopping malls or in downtown shopping areas. The thinking was that outlets gave retailers an alternative venue to clear out certain kinds of products, while giving shoppers a fun and novel bargain-hunting experience," mentioned Bezek.

贝泽克提到,购物中心类型的运营商“会在两个大城市之间的旅游区或骇维金属加工沿线建设一个主要的购物目的地。人们会去奥特莱斯中心,获得购物中心或市中心购物区无法获得的便宜货。他们的想法是,奥特莱斯为零售商提供了一个替代场所来清仓某些类型的产品,同时给购物者提供一种有趣而新颖的打折体验。”

Unfortunately, Bezek stated that Tanger's "financial results were poor prior to the pandemic." With the crisis, circumstances worsened. Thus, the analyst rated the long-term prognosis as "grim."

不幸的是,Bezek表示,Tanger的“在大流行前的财务业绩很差”。随着危机的爆发,情况变得更糟。因此,这位分析师将长期预测评为“严峻”。

For me, the retained earnings line item presents significant concerns. In 2019, this metric saw a loss of $317 million. In the trailing-12-month basis, it's down $483 million. Thus, SKT could be one of the stocks to sell.

对我来说,留存收益项目带来了重大担忧。2019年,这一指标亏损3.17亿美元。在往绩12个月的基础上,它下跌了4.83亿美元。因此,SKT可能是出售的股票之一。

Redfin (RDFN)

Redfin(RDFN)

Source: Shutterstock
消息来源:Shutterstock

Throughout this year, the real estate market and its broader price trajectory sparked much debate. With the Fed committed to raising the benchmark interest rate, prices fundamentally seem on their way down. It's just simple math: put barriers to affordability to prospective buyers and demand diminishes. Therefore, I believe it makes perfect sense to consider Redfin (NASDAQ:RDFN) as one of the stocks to sell.

今年全年,房地产市场及其更广泛的价格轨迹引发了许多争论。随着美联储致力于提高基准利率,价格从根本上看似乎正在下降。这只是一个简单的算术:给潜在买家设置负担能力的障碍,需求就会减少。因此,我认为完全有理由考虑红鳍(纳斯达克:RDFN)作为待售股票之一。

Before discussing this and other stocks to sell in the housing sector, I must disclose my bias. Every time I saw real estate experts talk about housing prices moving even higher, I kept yelling a certain word. It begins with "B" and ends with "T." In fact, I laid out my case earlier this year for a possible recession on the horizon.

在讨论这只股票和其他在住房领域出售的股票之前,我必须公开我的偏见。每次我看到房地产专家谈论房价进一步上涨时,我都会不停地喊一个词。它以“B”开头,以“T”结尾。事实上,今年早些时候,我曾就可能出现的经济衰退提出过自己的观点。

As mentioned earlier, the fundamental problem with real estate brokerage services such as Redfin is the math. As affordability metrics become further constrained for more people, the price of assets must decline to reflect reality. The problem for RDFN is that it may still be financially problematic, making it one of the stocks to sell.

如前所述,Redfin等房地产经纪服务的根本问题是数学问题。随着可负担性指标对更多人的进一步限制,资产价格必须下降以反映现实。RDFN的问题是,它可能仍然存在财务问题,使其成为出售的股票之一。

KB Home (KBH)

KB Home(KBH)

Source: ARMMY PICCA/ShutterStock.com
来源:ARMMY Picca/Shuterstock.com

Among several market ideas to acquire during the heyday of 2021, homebuilding firm KB Home (NYSE:KBH) now arguably represents one of the top stocks to sell. Prior to the heightened interest rate environment, many folks talked about a housing unit shortage. Therefore, the easy solution appeared to be that homebuilders should simply build more homes.

在2021年鼎盛时期要收购的几个市场想法中,住宅建筑公司KB主页(纽约证券交易所代码:KBH)现在可以说是最值得出售的股票之一。在利率环境升高之前,许多人都在谈论住房短缺。因此,简单的解决方案似乎是房屋建筑商应该简单地建造更多的房屋。

However, I argued that the idea of a housing shortage represented a myth. Long story short, just because the U.S. has more people does not mean it has more qualified homebuyers. For instance, married couples represent a major catalyst for homebuying incentivization. However, the ratio of married couples to housing units has been stable (and adequate) for several years.

然而,我认为住房短缺的想法是一个神话。长话短说,仅仅因为美国有更多的人口并不意味着它有更多合格的购房者。例如,已婚夫妇是鼓励购房的主要催化剂。然而,几年来,已婚夫妇与住房单位的比例一直保持稳定(且充足)。

Recently, KB Home disclosed its fiscal third-quarter earnings report. It beat on earnings expectations but missed against revenue. Still, I believe the more important stat is days inventory. This figure stood at nearly 382 in fiscal Q3, up 7.5% year-over-year.

近日,KB Home披露了第三财季收益报告。它超过了盈利预期,但不及预期的预期超过了收入。尽管如此,我认为更重要的统计数据是天数库存。在第三财季,这一数字接近382,同比增长7.5%。

KBH is one of the stocks to sell.

KBH是要出售的股票之一。

Opendoor (OPEN)

OpenDoor(打开)

Source: PREMIO STOCK/Shutterstock.com
来源:Premio stock/Shutterstock.com

At first glance, the iBuyer model for Opendoor (NASDAQ:OPEN) seemed incredibly attractive. Essentially, the company makes instant cash offers on homes through an online process. By doing so, the process of selling real estate is much quicker and more convenient. The implication undergirding OPEN stock was that the model could eventually do away with the cumbersome nature of home-related transactions.

乍一看,iBuyer模式OpenDoor(纳斯达克:开放)看起来非常有吸引力。从本质上说,该公司通过在线流程提供房屋的即时现金报价。这样做,出售房地产的过程就快多了,方便多了。支撑未平仓股票的含义是,该模式最终可能消除与住房相关的交易的繁琐性质。

But then, nobody seemed to ask the obvious question: why would anyone want real estate transactions to be quicker and more convenient? You're not upgrading your smartphone. Rather, you're buying a home, which is typically the most expensive purchase for the average person. Therefore, you want to make sure that every relevant party to the transaction does their job appropriately. If it takes some time, so what? You don't want to make a mistake here.

但当时,似乎没有人问一个显而易见的问题:为什么会有人希望房地产交易更快、更方便?你没有升级你的智能手机。相反,你是在买房子,这对普通人来说通常是最昂贵的购买。因此,您需要确保与交易相关的每一方都适当地履行自己的职责。如果这需要一些时间,那又如何?你不会想在这里犯错误的。

Turns out, another reason to consider OPEN as one of the stocks to sell is the lack of viability. Recently, a report revealed that Opendoor lost money on 42% of transactions in August. That's startling because the company obviously doesn't offer top dollar for what is essentially a home-flipping service. So, buyer beware.

事实证明,考虑将Open作为出售股票之一的另一个原因是缺乏生存能力。最近,一份报告显示,OpenDoor在8月份的交易中亏损了42%。这令人震惊,因为该公司显然没有为本质上是家庭翻转服务的公司提供最高价格的服务。所以,买家要当心了。

On the date of publication, Josh Enomoto did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在出版日期,乔什·恩诺本没有(直接或间接)持有本文所述证券的任何头寸。本文表达的观点是作者的观点,以InvestorPlace.com为准出版指南.

A former senior business analyst for Sony Electronics, Josh Enomoto has helped broker major contracts with Fortune Global 500 companies. Over the past several years, he has delivered unique, critical insights for the investment markets, as well as various other industries including legal, construction management, and healthcare.

作为索尼电子的前高级商业分析师,井本曾帮助撮合了多家《财富》全球500强企业的重要合同。在过去的几年里,他为投资市场以及包括法律、建筑管理和医疗保健在内的各种其他行业提供了独特的、至关重要的见解。

The post 7 Stocks to Sell in October appeared first on InvestorPlace.

10月份出售的Post 7股票首先出现在InvestorPlace上。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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