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Opinion: ABNB stock hasn't moved much yet, but It's on the verge after earnings

Opinion: ABNB stock hasn't moved much yet, but It's on the verge after earnings

观点:ABNB股价尚未有太大变动,但即将公布财报
InvestorPlace ·  2021/08/16 11:39

$Airbnb(ABNB.US)$ was one of the hottest tech unicorns out there for many years. However, it had the misfortune of trying to launch its initial public offering (IPO). Airbnb eventually made its IPO happen in December 2020, but amid all the travel uncertainty, ABNB stock has had an underwhelming run so far.

$爱彼迎(荷兰银行)$是多年来最炙手可热的科技独角兽之一。然而,它不幸地试图进行首次公开募股(IPO)。爱彼迎最终在2020年12月进行了首次公开募股,但在所有旅行的不确定性中,荷兰银行的股票迄今表现平平。

Yes, shares did pop in the spring as vaccine and reopening excitement picked up.

是的,随着疫苗和重新开放的兴奋情绪回升,股价在春季确实上涨了。

However, ABNB stock has been in a tailspin since then, and given the rough earnings season for many tech companies, it’s understandable why folks were nervous ahead of the company's earnings report Thursday.

然而,自那以来,ABNB的股价一直处于低迷状态,考虑到许多科技公司的财报季都很艰难,人们在公司周四发布财报前感到紧张是可以理解的。

Shares have seen mixed trading since the earnings release came out. However, ABNB stock owners should take cheer both from its earnings and those of its direct peers.

自财报发布以来,股票交易喜忧参半。然而,ABNB的股东应该从其盈利和直接同行的盈利中获得欢呼。

While Airbnb’s business model is unique, there are some reasonable comps to work with. For example, consider $Booking Holdings Inc(BKNG.US)$. Booking shares rallied 6% following strong Q2 results.

虽然爱彼迎的商业模式是独一无二的,但也有一些合理的竞争对手。例如,考虑$Booking Holdings(BKNG.US)$。在第二季度业绩强劲后,Booking股价上涨了6%。

Booking reported only a small operating loss for the quarter, which is a big improvement as it had been running tons of red ink previously.

Booking报告本季度只出现了小幅运营亏损,这是一个很大的改善,因为它之前一直在亏损。

The company’s hotel room reservations surged 59% for the second quarter of 2021 compared to the first quarter, which led to the recovery for Booking. This is even more impressive than it sounds, since usually, the second quarter is slightly weaker than the first one for Booking, according to CEO Glenn Fogel.

与第一季度相比,该公司2021年第二季度的酒店客房预订量激增59%,这导致了预订量的回升。首席执行官格伦·福格尔(Glenn Fogel)表示,这甚至比听起来更令人印象深刻,因为通常情况下,第二季度的预订量略低于第一季度。

Furthermore, 59% is a huge jump sequentially and points to how quickly normal leisure travel demand is returning. Fogel pointed to a particular rebound in travel in Europe. We see that with Airbnb as well. Airbnb reported that its cross-border European bookings have now surpassed 2019 levels.

此外,59%的环比是一个巨大的跃升,表明正常的休闲旅游需求恢复得有多快。福格尔指出,欧洲的旅游出现了特别的反弹。我们在爱彼迎身上也看到了这一点。爱彼迎报道,其跨境欧洲预订量现在已经超过了2019年的水平。

Meanwhile, $Expedia Group Inc(EXPE.US)$ announced a more mixed set of results. Shares traded up sharply prior to its earnings report but then dropped back following the results.

同时,$Expedia Group Inc.(EXPE.US)$公布了一套更加喜忧参半的结果。股价在财报公布前大幅上涨,但在财报公布后回落。

A closer look at the company’s numbers, however, showed that lodging was strong with vacation bookings, in particular, is a high point. To the extent that Expedia was underwhelmed, it was in part due to corporate travel failing to recover quickly.

然而,仔细观察该公司的数据就会发现,住宿情况很强劲,尤其是度假预订,这是一个高点。在一定程度上,Expedia的表现平平,部分原因是商务旅行未能迅速恢复。

However, Airbnb is not so heavily levered to corporate travel and indeed ended up seeing the same tailwinds as Expedia did in the leisure business.

然而,爱彼迎对商务旅行的杠杆率并不是那么高,确实最终看到了Expedia在休闲业务方面的同样顺风。

Return To Growth Mode?

是否返回增长模式?

Airbnb reported a well-above-expectations Q2, and management said that it is expecting its biggest numbers ever in Q3, even topping pre-pandemic levels. So with the core business back on track, what else is moving the needle for Airbnb?

爱彼迎报告的第二季度远远超出预期,管理层表示,预计第三季度的数字将达到有史以来的最高水平,甚至超过大流行前的水平。那么,随着核心业务重回正轨,还有什么在为爱彼迎拨云见日呢?

One key thing will be in Airbnb’s investments in experiences and other ancillary ventures.

一件关键的事情将是爱彼迎对体验和其他附属企业的投资。

In 2019, Airbnb started to move heavily into the experiences space, where travelers could buy things such as kayak trips, coffee plantation tours, cooking lessons, and much more from local guides. In theory, this would allow Airbnb to earn higher margins and diversify its product away from just the competitive lodging space.

2019年,爱彼迎开始大举进军体验空间,游客可以在那里从当地导游那里购买皮划艇旅行、咖啡种植园之旅、烹饪课程等更多东西。从理论上讲,这将使爱彼迎获得更高的利润率,并使其产品多样化,而不仅仅是竞争激烈的住宿空间。

Alas, the pandemic put most of these plans on ice. Though, the company did keep experiences going to a certain degree through virtual events. Now, however, Airbnb should be able to start really pushing this potentially large revenue channel once again.

唉,大流行让这些计划中的大部分都被搁置了。不过,该公司确实通过虚拟活动在一定程度上保持了体验。然而,现在爱彼迎应该能够再次真正开始推动这一潜在的巨大收入渠道。

Airbnb also had other businesses in the works, such as building out local transportation offerings. This was also sidelined during the pandemic, but the company could look to get this moving again in the near term.

爱彼迎还在筹备其他业务,比如建造当地的交通产品。在大流行期间,这一点也被搁置一边,但该公司可能会寻求在短期内让这一点再次启动。

Meanwhile, there was at least one major benefit from the pandemic. CFO Dave Stephenson commented that the pandemic was a “reset” moment for a lot of local cities and states as far as regulation goes.

与此同时,这场大流行至少有一个主要好处。首席财务官戴夫·斯蒂芬森(Dave Stephenson)评论说,就监管而言,大流行对许多当地城市和州来说是一个“重启”的时刻。

Cities like Barcelona had previously been looking to ban or heavily regulate Airbnb. In the new post-pandemic world, however, the regulatory environment has become more favorable to Airbnb as cities want their tourist sectors to get moving again by any means necessary.

像巴塞罗那这样的城市此前一直在寻求禁赛或严格监管爱彼迎。然而,在大流行后的新世界里,监管环境对爱彼迎来说变得更加有利,因为城市希望他们的旅游业不惜一切必要的手段重新开始行动。

ABNB Stock Verdict

ABNB股票判决

Airbnb delivered a strong result this quarter. Regardless of that, shares haven't moved much, at least not yet. This gives investors a chance to take a position in ABNB stock ahead of what management forecasts will be a blockbuster third quarter.

爱彼迎本季度业绩强劲。尽管如此,股价并没有太大变动,至少目前还没有。这给了投资者一个机会,在管理层预测第三季度将是重磅炸弹之前,持有ABNB股票的头寸。

It’s not just Airbnb either. Looking at other travel companies, it seems clear that the leisure and vacation business is rapidly stabilizing.

也不仅仅是爱彼迎。纵观其他旅游公司,休闲度假业务似乎正在迅速企稳。

Despite all the uncertainty of the pandemic, things are returning to normal. That, in turn, should give Airbnb a solid trajectory in the coming months.

尽管存在大流行的所有不确定性,但情况正在恢复正常。这反过来又应该会让爱彼迎在未来几个月有一个坚实的发展轨迹。

On the date of publication, Ian Bezek did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在本文发表之日,伊恩·贝泽克(Ian Bezek)并未(直接或间接)持有本文所述证券的任何头寸。本文表达的观点是作者的观点,以InvestorPlace.com为准出版指南.


声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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