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Cable One (NYSE:CABO) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Cable One (NYSE:CABO) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

有线电视一号(纽约证券交易所代码:CABO)在使用债务方面承担了一些风险
Simply Wall St ·  05/22 15:11

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Cable One, Inc. (NYSE:CABO) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。我们可以看到,Cable One, Inc.(纽约证券交易所代码:CABO)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或利用自己的现金流轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的重要组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 的过程,在这个过程中,倒闭的企业将被银行家无情地清算。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常会看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人强迫他们以不利的价格筹集资金。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务,并从自己的利益出发。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是将现金和债务放在一起看。

How Much Debt Does Cable One Carry?

Cable One 背负了多少债务?

As you can see below, Cable One had US$3.59b of debt at March 2024, down from US$3.81b a year prior. On the flip side, it has US$239.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$3.36b.

如下所示,截至2024年3月,有线电视一号的债务为35.9亿美元,低于去年同期的38.1亿美元。另一方面,它拥有2.39亿美元的现金,净负债约为33.6亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:CABO Debt to Equity History May 22nd 2024
纽约证券交易所:CABO债务与股本比率历史记录 2024年5月22日

How Strong Is Cable One's Balance Sheet?

Cable One的资产负债表有多强?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Cable One had liabilities of US$186.7m due within a year, and liabilities of US$4.73b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$239.0m as well as receivables valued at US$60.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$4.61b.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,Cable One的负债为1.867亿美元,此后到期的负债为47.3亿美元。除这些债务外,它有2.39亿美元的现金以及价值6,050万美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额46.1亿美元。

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$2.12b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Cable One would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

这笔赤字给这家价值21.2亿美元的公司蒙上了阴影,就像一个耸立在凡人之上的巨人。因此,我们绝对认为股东需要密切关注这个问题。归根结底,如果其债权人要求还款,Cable One可能需要进行大规模的资本重组。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。

Cable One has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.9 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.5 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Even more troubling is the fact that Cable One actually let its EBIT decrease by 3.1% over the last year. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Cable One's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Cable One的债务与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率为3.9,其息税前利润覆盖了利息支出的3.5倍。这表明,尽管债务水平很高,但我们不会称其为有问题。更令人不安的是,Cable One的息税前利润实际上比去年下降了3.1%。如果它继续这样下去,还清债务就像在跑步机上跑步一样,付出很大的努力,但进展不大。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,未来的收益将决定Cable One未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Cable One produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 59% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。因此,值得检查一下息税前利润中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。在过去三年中,Cable One产生了稳健的自由现金流,相当于其息税前利润的59%,与我们的预期差不多。这种冷硬现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。

Our View

我们的观点

Mulling over Cable One's attempt at staying on top of its total liabilities, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Cable One to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Cable One is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those can't be ignored...

仔细考虑Cable One试图控制其总负债的做法,我们当然并不热情。但至少在将息税前利润转换为自由现金流方面相当不错;这令人鼓舞。我们很清楚,由于其资产负债表状况良好,我们认为Cable One的风险确实相当大。出于这个原因,我们对该股非常谨慎,我们认为股东应密切关注其流动性。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。请注意,Cable One在我们的投资分析中显示了3个警告信号,其中2个不容忽视...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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