Ethereum ETF Approval Unlikely This Week, Says Top Crypto Analyst: 72-Hour Window 'Weird And Almost Impossible To Establish'
Ethereum ETF Approval Unlikely This Week, Says Top Crypto Analyst: 72-Hour Window 'Weird And Almost Impossible To Establish'
Popular cryptocurrency analyst and trader Michaël van de Poppe went against the broader market sentiment by suggesting that spot Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) ETFs won't be greenlighted by the SEC this week.
受欢迎的加密货币分析师兼交易员迈克尔·范德波普暗示美国证券交易委员会本周不会批准现货以太坊（加密货币：ETH）ETF，这与更广泛的市场情绪背道而驰。
What Happened: Van de Poppe, known for sharing crypto investment strategies on social media, said, "Honestly, I think it's going to be a delay and approval in July/August," amid the ongoing frenzy. The analyst's views drew market interest as the final deadline for the first wave of applications falls on May 23, with VanEck's proposal being the first in line.
发生了什么：在持续的狂潮中，以在社交媒体上分享加密投资策略而闻名的范德波普说：“老实说，我认为这将是7月/8月的延迟和批准”。分析师的观点引起了市场的兴趣，因为第一波申请的最后期限是5月23日，而VanEck的提案是第一批提案。
The #Ethereum ETF has a deadline in two days.
A week ago, the chances of a denial were close to 99%.
Now, apparently, the chances of an approval are 75%.
Honestly, I think it's going to be a delay and approval in July/August.
It's looking good, that's for sure.— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) May 21, 2024
#Ethereum ETF的最后期限为两天。
一周前，拒绝的几率接近99％。
现在，显然，获得批准的可能性为75％。
老实说，我认为这将是7月/8月的延迟和批准。
当然，它看起来不错。— 迈克尔·范德波普 (@CryptoMichNL) 2024 年 5 月 21 日
Van de Poppe told Benzinga that the likelihood of approval within a window of 72 hours is "weird and almost impossible to establish." He cited the continued presence of ETH staking in many applications as a factor that could delay approvals. He added that the market would likely respond negatively to the SEC's refusal, but the grounds for denial would determine the next reaction.
范德波普告诉本辛加，在72小时内获得批准的可能性 “很奇怪，几乎无法确定”。他指出，许多申请中持续存在ETH质押是可能延迟批准的一个因素。他补充说，市场可能会对美国证券交易委员会的拒绝做出负面回应，但拒绝的理由将决定下一步的反应。
"If it's solely the staking part, then it might suggest that we're going to have an approval, but just later on, and that would automatically lead to a positive build-up at a later point in time," Van de Poppe emphasized.
范德波普强调说：“如果这仅仅是赌注部分，那么可能表明我们将获得批准，但等到稍后，这将自动导致以后的积极积累。”
Why It Matters: After a few hours of receiving the aforementioned responses, nearly five applicants amended their filings to remove the staking part — a blockade that Van de Poppe was referring to.
为何重要：在收到上述回复几个小时后，将近五名申请人修改了申报表，删除了质押部分——范德波普指的是封锁。
UPDATE: It's happening. We have at least 5 of the potential #Ethereum ETF issuers that have submitted their Amended 19b-4's in the last ~25 min.
Fidelity, VanEck, Invesco/Galaxy, Ark/21Shares, & Franklin all submitted via CBOE. pic.twitter.com/pHGt8iRWi8— James Seyffart (@JSeyff) May 21, 2024
更新：它正在发生。在过去的大约25分钟内，我们至少有5家潜在的 #Ethereum ETF发行人提交了经修订的19b-4。
富达、VanEck、Invesco/Galaxy、Ark/21Shares和富兰克林均通过芝加哥期权交易所提交。pic.twitter.com/phgt8IRWI8— 詹姆斯·塞法特 (@JSeyff) 2024 年 5 月 21 日
Bloomberg Analyst James Seyffart maintained a 75% approval chance as of this publication.
截至本出版物，彭博社分析师詹姆斯·塞法特保持了75％的批准机会。
Meanwhile, VanEck's spot Ether ETF fund was listed on the website of the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation, according to The Block. While not a confirmation of approval, this step was important in the process of listing the investment vehicles.
同时，据The Block报道，VanEck的现货以太币ETF基金已在存托信托和清算公司的网站上市。虽然不是确认批准，但这一步骤在投资工具上市过程中非常重要。
Price Action: At the time of writing, Ethereum was trading up 3.26% at $3,759.04, according to data from Benzinga Pro.
价格走势：根据Benzinga Pro的数据，在撰写本文时，以太坊的交易价格上涨3.26％，至3,759.04美元。
Image via Shutterstock
图片来自 Shutterstock