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Investors in Juneyao Airlines (SHSE:603885) From Three Years Ago Are Still Down 23%, Even After 6.0% Gain This Past Week

Investors in Juneyao Airlines (SHSE:603885) From Three Years Ago Are Still Down 23%, Even After 6.0% Gain This Past Week

尽管上周上涨了6.0%,但自三年前以来,吉祥航空(SHSE: 603885)的投资者仍下跌了23%
Simply Wall St ·  05/22 01:00

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Juneyao Airlines Co., Ltd (SHSE:603885) shareholders, since the share price is down 24% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 18%. On the other hand the share price has bounced 6.0% over the last week.

为了证明选择个股的努力是合理的,值得努力超过市场指数基金的回报。但是选股的风险在于,你可能会买入表现不佳的公司。不幸的是,吉祥航空有限公司(SHSE: 603885)的长期股东就是这种情况,因为股价在过去三年中下跌了24%,远低于市场18%左右的跌幅。另一方面,股价在上周反弹了6.0%。

The recent uptick of 6.0% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

最近上涨6.0%可能是即将发生的事情的积极信号,因此让我们来看一下历史基本面。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

During five years of share price growth, Juneyao Airlines moved from a loss to profitability. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.

在五年的股价增长中,吉祥航空从亏损转为盈利。我们通常预计股价会因此上涨。因此,值得研究其他指标来了解股价走势。

With a rather small yield of just 0.5% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. Revenue is actually up 23% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Juneyao Airlines more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

由于收益率相当低,仅为0.5%,我们怀疑该股的股价是否基于其股息。在过去的三年中,收入实际上增长了23%,因此股价下跌似乎也不取决于收入。这种分析只是敷衍了事,但可能值得对吉祥航空进行更仔细的研究,因为有时股票会不公平地下跌。这可能带来机会。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603885 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 22nd 2024
SHSE: 603885 收益和收入增长 2024 年 5 月 22 日

Juneyao Airlines is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. Given we have quite a good number of analyst forecasts, it might be well worth checking out this free chart depicting consensus estimates.

吉祥航空是一家知名股票,有大量分析师报道,这表明未来增长有一定的可见性。鉴于我们有相当多的分析师预测,这张描绘共识估计的免费图表可能值得一看。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market lost about 8.2% in the twelve months, Juneyao Airlines shareholders did even worse, losing 19% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 0.9% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Juneyao Airlines better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Juneyao Airlines , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管整个市场在十二个月中下跌了约8.2%,但吉祥航空的股东表现甚至更糟,损失了19%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。好的一面是,长期股东赚了钱,在过去的五年中,每年增长0.9%。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此可能值得查看基本面数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解吉祥航空,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经向吉祥航空确定了一个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

Of course Juneyao Airlines may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,吉祥航空可能不是最值得购买的股票。因此,您可能希望看到这批免费的成长股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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