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Investors Three-year Losses Continue as China Risun Group (HKG:1907) Dips a Further 6.2% This Week, Earnings Continue to Decline

Investors Three-year Losses Continue as China Risun Group (HKG:1907) Dips a Further 6.2% This Week, Earnings Continue to Decline

由于中国旭阳集团(HKG: 1907)本周再下跌6.2%,收益继续下降,投资者连续三年亏损持续
Simply Wall St ·  05/20 23:17

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term China Risun Group Limited (HKG:1907) shareholders, since the share price is down 45% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 13%. And the share price decline continued over the last week, dropping some 6.2%.

作为投资者,值得努力确保您的整体投资组合超过市场平均水平。但是在任何投资组合中,都可能有一些股票未达到该基准。不幸的是,中国旭阳集团有限公司(HKG: 1907)的长期股东就是这种情况,因为股价在过去三年中下跌了45%,远低于13%左右的市场跌幅。上周股价继续下跌,下跌了约6.2%。

Since China Risun Group has shed HK$881m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由于中国旭阳集团在过去7天内已从其价值下跌8.81亿港元,让我们看看长期下跌是否是由该业务的经济推动的。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

During the three years that the share price fell, China Risun Group's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 22% each year. This fall in EPS isn't far from the rate of share price decline, which was 18% per year. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time, despite the disappointment. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

在股价下跌的三年中,中国旭阳集团的每股收益(EPS)每年下降22%。每股收益的下降与股价每年18%的下降率相差不远。这表明,尽管令人失望,但在这段时间内,公司周围的市场情绪并没有太大变化。相反,股价大致追踪了每股收益的增长。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

该公司的每股收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:1907 Earnings Per Share Growth May 21st 2024
SEHK: 1907 每股收益增长 2024 年 5 月 21 日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of China Risun Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

像我们一样,内部人士在过去的十二个月中一直在购买股票。话虽如此,大多数人认为收益和收入增长趋势是更有意义的业务指南。查看这张中国旭阳集团收益、收入和现金流的互动图表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, China Risun Group's TSR for the last 3 years was -37%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。碰巧的是,中国旭阳集团过去3年的股东总回报率为-37%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

China Risun Group shareholders are down 11% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 7.1%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 7%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - China Risun Group has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

中国旭阳集团的股东今年下跌了11%(甚至包括股息),但市场本身上涨了7.1%。但是,请记住,即使是最好的股票有时也会在十二个月内表现不如市场。长期投资者不会那么沮丧,因为他们本可以在五年内每年赚7%。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此可能值得查看基本面数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,冒险吧——中国旭阳集团有3个警告信号(其中一个很重要),我们认为你应该知道。

China Risun Group is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of small cap companies at attractive valuations which insiders have been buying.

中国旭阳集团并不是内部人士唯一买入的股票。因此,看看这份内部人士一直在购买的估值诱人的小盘股公司的免费清单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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