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Fertility Solutions-Focused Progyny Stock Sinks After Soft Guidance; Analyst Says 'Can No Longer Underwrite Sustained Healthy Growth In Forecasts'

Fertility Solutions-Focused Progyny Stock Sinks After Soft Guidance; Analyst Says 'Can No Longer Underwrite Sustained Healthy Growth In Forecasts'

以生育解决方案为重点的Progyny股票在软指引后下跌;分析师表示 “无法再为预测的持续健康增长提供担保”
Benzinga ·  05/10 14:42

On Thursday, Progyny Inc (NASDAQ:PGNY) reported first-quarter sales of $278.1 million, up 7.6% year over year, missing the consensus of $289.46 million, primarily due to the increased number of clients and covered lives.

周四,Progyny Inc(纳斯达克股票代码:PGNY)公布的第一季度销售额为2.781亿美元,同比增长7.6%,未达到2.8946亿美元的共识,这主要是由于客户数量和承保人寿的增加。

Fertility benefit services revenue was $169.8 million, an 8.0% increase from the $157.1 million reported in the first quarter of 2023.

生育补助服务收入为1.698亿美元,较2023年第一季度公布的1.571亿美元增长了8.0%。

Pharmacy benefit services revenue was $108.3 million, a 7.0% increase compared to the $101.2 million reported in the first quarter of 2023.

药房福利服务收入为1.083亿美元,与2023年第一季度公布的1.012亿美元相比增长了7.0%。

The company reported adjusted EPS of $0.39, up from $0.34 a year ago.

该公司报告调整后的每股收益为0.39美元,高于去年同期的0.34美元。

The company had 451 clients as of March 31, 2024, compared to 379 a year ago. Assisted Reproductive Technology (ART) cycles were 14,802 compared to 13,171 a year ago. Utilization rate was 0.53%.

截至2024年3月31日,该公司拥有451名客户,而去年同期为379名。辅助生殖技术(ART)周期为14,802次,而去年同期为13,171次。利用率为0.53%。

"Utilization through the end of February was consistent with the record engagement we saw a year ago. However, March was modestly below our expectations, coinciding with the national conversations concerning fertility treatments and access to maternal healthcare following the Alabama Supreme Court ruling," said Pete Anevski, CEO of Progyny.

“截至2月底的利用率与一年前创纪录的参与度一致。但是,3月份略低于我们的预期,恰逢阿拉巴马州最高法院作出裁决后关于生育治疗和孕产妇医疗保健机会的全国性对话。” Progyny首席执行官皮特·阿内夫斯基说。

"This, in combination with the previously-disclosed unfavorable treatment mix shift that we experienced for a limited period of time earlier in the first quarter, lowered our first quarter revenue growth rate," Anevski added.

阿内夫斯基补充说:“再加上我们在第一季度早些时候经历的有限时间内先前披露的不利待遇组合变化,降低了我们第一季度的收入增长率。”

Guidance: Progyny expects second-quarter adjusted EPS of $0.39-$0.41 versus consensus of $0.41.

指导方针:Progyny预计第二季度调整后的每股收益为0.39美元-0.41美元,而市场普遍预期为0.41美元。

The company sees second-quarter revenue of $300 million-$310 million versus the consensus of $335.76 million.

该公司预计第二季度收入为3亿至3.1亿美元,而市场普遍预期为3.3576亿美元。

Progyny forecasts fiscal year 2024 adjusted EPS of $1.61-$1.68 versus a consensus of $1.57, and revenue of $1.23 billion—$1.27 billion versus a consensus of $1.29 billion.

Progyny预测,2024财年调整后的每股收益为16.1至1.68美元,而市场预期为1.57美元,收入为12.3亿美元至12.7亿美元,而预期为12.9亿美元。

KeyBanc Capital Markets lowered the rating from Overweight to Sector Weight.

KeyBanc资本市场将评级从增持下调至行业权重。

The analyst says, 'We are becoming more weary of the company's visibility into its revenues, utilization, and customer behavior." The new client cohorts added will likely not meet the utilization profiles of the legacy cohorts and constricted budgets.

这位分析师说:“我们对公司对其收入、利用率和客户行为的可见性越来越厌倦。”新增的客户群组可能无法满足传统群组的利用率和紧缩的预算。

"While we always believed Progyny deserved a more premium multiple than where it had been trading, this was predicated on sustained healthy growth, which we longer can underwrite in our forecasts," the KeyBanc analyst writes.

KeyBanc分析师写道:“尽管我们一直认为Progyny应该获得比其交易价格更高的溢价倍数,但这是以持续健康增长为前提的,而我们更能在预测中承保这种增长。”

Keybanc revised revenue growth projections to around 14% for this year and approximately 10% for next year. The analyst says better utilization rates and customer trends, along with an understanding of overall business performance, are needed to regain confidence in the stock.

Keybanc将今年的收入增长预测上调至14%左右,明年的收入增长预期约为10%。这位分析师表示,要恢复对股票的信心,需要更好的利用率和客户趋势,并了解整体业务表现。

Price Action: PGNY shares are down 20.8% at $25.74 at last check Friday.

价格走势:周五最后一次检查时,PGNY股价下跌20.8%,至25.74美元。

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