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Lushang Life Services' (HKG:2376) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Lushang Life Services' (HKG:2376) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

鲁商人寿服务(HKG: 2376)收入低迷可能仅仅是问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  05/08 18:28

Lushang Life Services Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:2376) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

鲁商生活服务有限公司's(HKG: 2376)最近疲软的收益报告并未导致股市大幅波动。我们认为,投资者担心收益背后的一些弱点。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:2376 Earnings and Revenue History May 8th 2024
SEHK: 2376 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 5 月 8 日

A Closer Look At Lushang Life Services' Earnings

仔细看看鲁商人寿服务的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

正如财务爱好者已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与其利润相匹配程度的关键指标。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以公司在该时期内的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但是如果应计比率为正,则被认为是一件坏事。尽管应计比率为正(表明非现金利润达到一定水平)不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸质利润与现金流不匹配。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长放缓。

Lushang Life Services has an accrual ratio of 0.55 for the year to December 2023. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥39.4m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥12m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥12m, this year, indicates high risk.

截至2023年12月的一年中,鲁商人寿服务的应计比率为0.55。通常,这对未来的盈利能力来说是个坏兆头。换句话说,该公司在那段时间内没有产生一点自由现金流。尽管该公司报告的利润为3,940万元人民币,但从自由现金流来看,它实际上在去年消耗了1200万元人民币。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑其今年1200万元人民币的现金消耗是否表明存在高风险。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Lushang Life Services.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对鲁商人寿服务的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Lushang Life Services' Profit Performance

我们对鲁商人寿服务盈利表现的看法

As we discussed above, we think Lushang Life Services' earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Lushang Life Services' statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, Lushang Life Services has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

正如我们上面讨论的那样,我们认为鲁商人寿服务的收益没有得到自由现金流的支持,这可能会让一些投资者感到担忧。出于这个原因,我们认为鲁商人寿服务的法定利润可能不利于其潜在盈利能力,并可能给投资者留下过于积极的公司印象。另一个坏消息是,其每股收益在去年有所下降。本文的目标是评估我们在多大程度上可以依靠法定收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多需要考虑的地方。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。例如,Lushang Life Services有3个警告标志(还有一个有点不愉快),我们认为你应该知道。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Lushang Life Services' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我们放大了单一数据点,以更好地了解鲁商人寿服务利润的性质。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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