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Longfor Group Holdings' (HKG:960) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Longfor Group Holdings' (HKG:960) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Longfor Group Holdings(HKG: 960)盈利疲软可能仅仅是其问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  05/06 18:44

Despite Longfor Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:960) recent earnings report having lackluster headline numbers, the market responded positively. We think that shareholders might be missing some concerning factors that our analysis found.

尽管龙湖集团控股有限公司(HKG: 960)最近的财报的标题数据乏善可陈,但市场反应积极。我们认为,股东可能遗漏了我们的分析发现的一些相关因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:960 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024
SEHK: 960 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 5 月 6 日

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. Longfor Group Holdings expanded the number of shares on issue by 6.7% over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. You can see a chart of Longfor Group Holdings' EPS by clicking here.

评估收益质量的一个重要方面是研究一家公司在多大程度上稀释了股东。龙湖集团控股去年将已发行股票数量增加了6.7%。这意味着其收益将分配给更多的股票。在庆祝净收入的同时忽略稀释就像欢欣鼓舞,因为你只有一片更大的披萨,但却忽略了披萨现在被切成更多片的事实。您可以点击此处查看龙湖集团控股的每股收益图表。

A Look At The Impact Of Longfor Group Holdings' Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

看看龙湖集团控股公司的稀释对其每股收益(EPS)的影响

Longfor Group Holdings' net profit dropped by 36% per year over the last three years. Even looking at the last year, profit was still down 47%. Sadly, earnings per share fell further, down a full 49% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders.

在过去三年中,龙湖集团控股的净利润每年下降36%。即使从去年来看,利润仍下降了47%。可悲的是,收入 每股 进一步下跌,当时下跌了整整49%。因此,你可以看到稀释对股东产生了一些影响。

In the long term, if Longfor Group Holdings' earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

从长远来看,如果龙湖集团控股的收益 每股 可以上涨,那么股价也应该上涨。但另一方面,得知利润(但不是每股收益)在改善,我们就不那么兴奋了。对于普通零售股东来说,每股收益是检查您假设的公司利润 “份额” 的好方法。

Our data indicates that Longfor Group Holdings insiders have been buying shares! Luckily we are in a position to provide you with this free chart of of all insider buying (and selling).

我们的数据表明,龙湖集团控股内部人士一直在购买股票!幸运的是,我们能够为您提供这张包含所有内幕买入(和卖出)的免费图表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted Longfor Group Holdings' net profit by CN¥3.1b over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Longfor Group Holdings doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

最后,我们还应该考虑这样一个事实,即不寻常的项目使龙湖集团控股的净利润比去年增加了31亿元人民币。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当不寻常的物品做出重大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎一些。我们统计了全球大多数上市公司的数字,不寻常的物品在自然界中很常见。考虑到这个名字,这并不奇怪。如果Longfor Group Holdings不认为这种捐款会重演,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计其本年度的利润将下降。

Our Take On Longfor Group Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对龙湖集团控股盈利表现的看法

In its last report Longfor Group Holdings benefitted from unusual items which boosted its profit, which could make the profit seem better than it really is on a sustainable basis. And furthermore, it went and issued plenty of new shares, ensuring that each shareholder (who did not tip more money in) now owns a smaller proportion of the company. Considering all this we'd argue Longfor Group Holdings' profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Longfor Group Holdings (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

在上一份报告中,Longfor Group Holdings受益于不寻常的项目,这些项目提高了利润,在可持续的基础上,这可能会使利润看起来好于实际利润。此外,它还发行了大量新股,确保每位股东(没有投入更多资金)现在拥有公司较小比例的股份。考虑到所有这些,我们认为Longfor Group Holdings的利润可能给人一种对其可持续盈利水平的过于慷慨的印象。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。每家公司都有风险,我们已经发现了龙湖集团控股的3个警告信号(其中1个不容忽视!)你应该知道。

Our examination of Longfor Group Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我们对Longfor Group Holdings的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益看起来好于实际的因素。而且,在此基础上,我们有些怀疑。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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