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Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd's (SZSE:000963) Stock Has Seen Strong Momentum: Does That Call For Deeper Study Of Its Financial Prospects?

Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd's (SZSE:000963) Stock Has Seen Strong Momentum: Does That Call For Deeper Study Of Its Financial Prospects?

华东医药股份有限公司(SZSE: 000963)的股票势头强劲:这是否需要对其财务前景进行更深入的研究?
Simply Wall St ·  05/06 18:04

Huadong Medicine (SZSE:000963) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 8.9% over the last month. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. In this article, we decided to focus on Huadong Medicine's ROE.

华东医药(深圳证券交易所代码:000963)在股市上表现良好,其股票在上个月大幅上涨了8.9%。正如大多数人所知道的那样,基本面通常是指导市场价格长期走势的因素,因此我们今天决定研究公司的关键财务指标,以确定它们在近期的价格走势中是否可以发挥任何作用。在这篇文章中,我们决定重点关注华东医药的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Huadong Medicine is:

因此,根据上述公式,华东医药的投资回报率为:

13% = CN¥2.9b ÷ CN¥22b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

13% = 29亿元人民币 ÷ 22亿元人民币(基于截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.13.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。因此,这意味着公司每投资1元人民币,公司就会产生0.13元人民币的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效利润创造指标。我们现在需要评估公司为未来增长再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润,这样我们就可以了解公司的增长潜力。假设其他一切都保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Huadong Medicine's Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

华东医药的收益增长和13%的投资回报率的并排比较

To start with, Huadong Medicine's ROE looks acceptable. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 6.4% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. However, we are curious as to how the high returns still resulted in flat growth for Huadong Medicine in the past five years. Therefore, there could be some other aspects that could potentially be preventing the company from growing. These include low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

首先,华东医药的投资回报率似乎可以接受。与6.4%的行业平均投资回报率相比,该公司的投资回报率看起来相当可观。但是,我们很好奇高回报如何仍然导致华东医药在过去五年中保持平稳增长。因此,可能还有其他一些方面可能会阻碍公司的发展。其中包括收益保留率低或资本配置不善。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that the industry grew its earnings by 4.2% over the last few years.

接下来,与行业净收入增长相比,我们发现该行业的收益在过去几年中增长了4.2%。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000963 Past Earnings Growth May 6th 2024
SZSE: 000963 过去的收益增长 2024 年 5 月 6 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Huadong Medicine's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是乐观还是不祥的。如果你想知道华东医药的估值,可以看看这个衡量其与行业相比的市盈率指标。

Is Huadong Medicine Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

华东医药是否有效地将利润再投资?

Huadong Medicine's low three-year median payout ratio of 20% (implying that the company keeps80% of its income) should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth and this should be reflected in its growth number, but that's not the case.

华东医药的三年中位数派息率很低,为20%(这意味着该公司保留了80%的收入),这应该意味着该公司保留了大部分收益来推动其增长,这应该反映在其增长数字上,但事实并非如此。

In addition, Huadong Medicine has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 24%. Still, forecasts suggest that Huadong Medicine's future ROE will rise to 16% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,华东医药在至少十年内一直在派发股息,这表明即使以业务增长为代价,维持股息支付对管理层来说也更为重要。我们最新的分析师数据显示,公司未来三年的派息率预计约为24%。尽管如此,预测表明,尽管华东医药的派息率预计不会有太大变化,但该公司的未来投资回报率仍将上升至16%。

Conclusion

结论

In total, it does look like Huadong Medicine has some positive aspects to its business. However, given the high ROE and high profit retention, we would expect the company to be delivering strong earnings growth, but that isn't the case here. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering its growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总的来说,华东医药的业务看起来确实有一些积极的方面。但是,鉴于高投资回报率和高利润保留率,我们预计该公司将实现强劲的收益增长,但情况并非如此。这表明该业务可能面临一些外部威胁,这阻碍了其增长。话虽如此,我们研究了分析师的最新预测,发现尽管该公司过去曾缩减收益,但分析师预计其未来收益将增长。要了解有关公司未来收益增长预测的更多信息,请查看这份关于分析师预测的免费报告,以了解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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