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Why Yuexiu Property's (HKG:123) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Yuexiu Property's (HKG:123) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

为什么越秀地产(HKG: 123)不稳定的收益只是问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  05/06 01:59

The market shrugged off Yuexiu Property Company Limited's (HKG:123) weak earnings report last week. Our analysis suggests that there are some positive factors lying below the troubling profit numbers which investors are finding comfort in.

上周,市场对越秀地产有限公司(HKG: 123)疲软的收益报告不屑一顾。我们的分析表明,在令人不安的利润数字之下还有一些积极因素,投资者对此感到安慰。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:123 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024
SEHK: 123 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 5 月 6 日

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, Yuexiu Property increased the number of shares on issue by 30% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out Yuexiu Property's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

评估收益质量的一个重要方面是研究一家公司在多大程度上稀释了股东。实际上,越秀地产通过发行新股,在过去十二个月中将已发行股票数量增加了30%。这意味着其收益将分配给更多的股票。每股收益等每股指标可以帮助我们了解实际股东从公司的利润中受益的程度,而净收入水平则使我们能够更好地了解公司的绝对规模。点击此链接,查看越秀地产的历史每股收益增长。

How Is Dilution Impacting Yuexiu Property's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

稀释如何影响越秀地产的每股收益(EPS)?

Yuexiu Property's net profit dropped by 25% per year over the last three years. And even focusing only on the last twelve months, we see profit is down 19%. Like a sack of potatoes thrown from a delivery truck, EPS fell harder, down 33% in the same period. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is having a rather significant impact on shareholders.

在过去三年中,越秀地产的净利润每年下降25%。而且,即使只关注过去的十二个月,我们也看到利润下降了19%。就像从送货卡车上扔一袋土豆一样,每股收益的下降幅度更大,同期下降了33%。因此,你可以清楚地看到,稀释对股东产生了相当大的影响。

In the long term, if Yuexiu Property's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

从长远来看,如果越秀地产的收益 每股 可以上涨,那么股价也应该上涨。但另一方面,得知利润(但不是每股收益)正在改善,我们就不那么兴奋了。出于这个原因,假设目标是评估公司的股价是否可能上涨,你可以说从长远来看,每股收益比净收入更为重要。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

On top of the dilution, we should also consider the CN¥1.5b impact of unusual items in the last year, which had the effect of suppressing profit. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Yuexiu Property to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

除了稀释外,我们还应考虑去年不寻常项目对15亿元人民币的影响,其效果是抑制了利润。尽管由于不寻常项目而产生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一线希望。我们调查了数千家上市公司,发现不寻常的物品本质上往往是一次性的。鉴于这些单列项目被认为不寻常,这并不奇怪。假设这些不寻常的支出不会再次出现,因此,在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计越秀地产明年将产生更高的利润。

Our Take On Yuexiu Property's Profit Performance

我们对越秀地产盈利表现的看法

Yuexiu Property suffered from unusual items which depressed its profit in its last report; if that is not repeated then profit should be higher, all else being equal. But on the other hand, the company issued more shares, so without buying more shares each shareholder will end up with a smaller part of the profit. Having considered these factors, we don't think Yuexiu Property's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. If you want to do dive deeper into Yuexiu Property, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Yuexiu Property (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant).

在上一份报告中,越秀地产遭受了不寻常的损失;如果不重蹈覆辙,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,利润应该更高。但另一方面,该公司发行了更多股票,因此,如果不购买更多股票,每位股东最终将获得较小的利润。考虑到这些因素,我们认为越秀地产的法定利润对该业务的看法不会过于严厉。如果你想更深入地研究越秀地产,你还需要研究它目前面临的风险。为此,你应该了解一下我们在越秀地产发现的3个警告标志(其中一个有点不愉快)。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在本文中,我们研究了许多可能损害利润数字效用的因素,以此作为企业的指南。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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