Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Fastly, Inc. (NYSE:FSLY) share price has dived 32% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 26% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in the United States' IT industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, you may still consider Fastly as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Fastly Has Been Performing
Recent times have been advantageous for Fastly as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Fastly's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Fastly would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 17%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 67% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 14% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be similar to the 12% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it interesting that Fastly is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Fastly's P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that Fastly currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Fastly has 4 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Fastly's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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