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ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's (SZSE:000628) 75% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Three-year Period

ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's (SZSE:000628) 75% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Three-year Period

成都高新发展(SZSE: 000628)75% 的复合年增长率超过了公司三年同期的收益增长
Simply Wall St ·  05/01 19:45

The ChengDu Hi-Tech Development Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000628) share price is down a rather concerning 39% in the last month. But that doesn't displace its brilliant performance over three years. Over that time, we've been excited to watch the share price climb an impressive 430%. So the recent fall doesn't do much to dampen our respect for the business. The only way to form a view of whether the current price is justified is to consider the merits of the business itself.

成都高新发展股份有限公司(SZSE: 000628)的股价在上个月下跌了相当令人担忧的39%。但这并不能取代其三年来的出色表现。在那段时间里,我们很高兴看到股价上涨了令人印象深刻的430%。因此,最近的下跌并没有多大削弱我们对业务的尊重。对当前价格是否合理形成看法的唯一方法是考虑企业本身的优点。

The past week has proven to be lucrative for ChengDu Hi-Tech Development investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's three-year performance.

事实证明,过去一周对成都高新开发的投资者来说是有利可图的,所以让我们看看基本面是否推动了该公司的三年业绩。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

ChengDu Hi-Tech Development was able to grow its EPS at 11% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. In comparison, the 74% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. This suggests that, as the business progressed over the last few years, it gained the confidence of market participants. It's not unusual to see the market 're-rate' a stock, after a few years of growth.

成都高新发展得以在三年内以每年11%的速度增长每股收益,这推动了股价的上涨。相比之下,股价每年74%的涨幅超过了每股收益的增长。这表明,随着业务在过去几年中的发展,它赢得了市场参与者的信心。在经历了几年的增长之后,市场对股票进行 “重新评级” 的情况并不少见。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了 EPS 随着时间的推移是如何变化的(点击图片可以看到确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:000628 Earnings Per Share Growth May 1st 2024
SZSE: 000628 每股收益增长 2024 年 5 月 1 日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。始终值得关注首席执行官的薪酬,但更重要的问题是公司多年来是否会增加收益。查看这张成都高新开发收益、收入和现金流的互动图表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's TSR for the last 3 years was 440%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。碰巧的是,成都高新发展过去三年的股东总回报率为440%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's nice to see that ChengDu Hi-Tech Development shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 214% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 37%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for ChengDu Hi-Tech Development you should be aware of.

很高兴看到成都高新开发的股东去年获得了 214% 的总股东回报率。这确实包括股息。这一增幅好于五年内的年度股东总回报率,即37%。因此,最近公司周围的情绪似乎一直很乐观。鉴于股价势头仍然强劲,可能值得仔细研究该股,以免错过机会。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。一个很好的例子:我们发现了成都高新技术开发区的3个警告标志,你应该注意了。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想与管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司名单。(提示:业内人士一直在购买它们)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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