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Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With China Transinfo Technology's (SZSE:002373) Earnings

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With China Transinfo Technology's (SZSE:002373) Earnings

投资者不应该对中国千方科技(深圳证券交易所:002373)的收益过于满意
Simply Wall St ·  05/01 18:44

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for China Transinfo Technology Co., Ltd's (SZSE:002373) stock hasn't moved much. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

尽管公布了一些强劲的收益,但中国千方科技股份有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002373)的股票市场并没有太大变化。我们进行了一些挖掘,在细节中发现了一些相关的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:002373 Earnings and Revenue History May 1st 2024
SZSE: 002373 2024 年 5 月 1 日的收益和收入历史记录

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

Importantly, our data indicates that China Transinfo Technology's profit was reduced by CN¥15m, due to unusual items, over the last year. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If China Transinfo Technology doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

重要的是,我们的数据表明,由于不寻常的项目,中国千方科技的利润比去年减少了1500万元人民币。看到不寻常的项目使公司利润损失从来都不是一件好事,但从好的方面来看,情况可能迟早会好转。我们调查了数千家上市公司,发现不寻常的物品本质上往往是一次性的。而且,毕竟,这正是会计术语的含义。如果中国千方科技不看到这些不寻常的支出重演,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计其利润将在来年增加。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

An Unusual Tax Situation

不寻常的税收状况

Just as we noted the unusual items, we must inform you that China Transinfo Technology received a tax benefit which contributed CN¥94m to the bottom line. This is of course a bit out of the ordinary, given it is more common for companies to be paying tax than receiving tax benefits! The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. And given that it lost money last year, it seems possible that the benefit is evidence that it now expects to find value in its past tax losses. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth. So while we think it's great to receive a tax benefit, it does tend to imply an increased risk that the statutory profit overstates the sustainable earnings power of the business.

正如我们注意到这些不寻常的项目一样,我们必须通知您,中国千方科技获得了税收优惠,为利润贡献了9400万元人民币。这当然有点不寻常,因为公司纳税比获得税收优惠更为普遍!获得税收优惠本身显然是一件好事。而且,鉴于它去年亏损,这种好处似乎有可能证明它现在有望从过去的税收损失中找到价值。但是,细节上的问题在于,此类福利仅在预订当年有影响,而且本质上通常是一次性的。如果税收优惠可能不重演,我们预计其法定利润水平将下降,至少在没有强劲增长的情况下是如此。因此,尽管我们认为获得税收优惠是件好事,但这确实意味着法定利润夸大了企业可持续盈利能力的风险增加。

Our Take On China Transinfo Technology's Profit Performance

我们对中国千方科技盈利表现的看法

In the last year China Transinfo Technology received a tax benefit, which boosted its profit in a way that might not be much more sustainable than turning prime farmland into gas fields. But on the other hand, it also saw an unusual item depress its profit. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that China Transinfo Technology's statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. Ultimately, this article has formed an opinion based on historical data. However, it can also be great to think about what analysts are forecasting for the future. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.

去年,中国千方科技获得了一项税收优惠,这增加了其利润,其可持续性可能不会比将优质农田变成气田更具可持续性。但另一方面,它也看到一件不寻常的物品抑制了其利润。基于这些因素,我们认为中国千方科技的法定利润使其看起来比现在疲软得多的可能性很小。最终,本文根据历史数据形成了观点。但是,考虑分析师对未来的预测也可能很好。幸运的是,您可以点击此处查看分析师的预测。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在本文中,我们研究了许多可能削弱利润数字效用的因素,以此作为业务指南。但是,还有很多其他方法可以告知你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率表明商业经济状况良好,而另一些人则喜欢 “追随资金”,寻找内部人士正在购买的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这批拥有高股本回报率的免费公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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