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Sichuan Furong Technology's (SHSE:603327) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture

Sichuan Furong Technology's (SHSE:603327) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture

四川芙蓉科技(上海证券交易所代码:603327)的疲软收益可能只能揭示整体情况的一部分
Simply Wall St ·  05/01 18:30

Sichuan Furong Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603327) stock showed strength, with investors undeterred by its weak earnings report. While shareholders may be willing to overlook soft profit numbers, we believe that they should also be taking into account some other factors which may be cause for concern.

四川芙蓉科技有限公司's(上海证券交易所代码:603327)的股票表现强劲,投资者并未被其疲软的收益报告所吓倒。尽管股东可能愿意忽视疲软的利润数字,但我们认为他们还应考虑其他一些可能令人担忧的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603327 Earnings and Revenue History May 1st 2024
SHSE: 603327 2024 年 5 月 1 日的收益和收入历史记录

A Closer Look At Sichuan Furong Technology's Earnings

仔细看看四川芙蓉科技的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高金融领域,用于衡量公司将申报的利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的效果的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以公司在该时期内的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流超出了其利润所暗示的范围。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司未来的利润往往会降低”。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Sichuan Furong Technology recorded an accrual ratio of 0.27. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥278.4m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥236m in the last year. It's worth noting that Sichuan Furong Technology generated positive FCF of CN¥188m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.

在截至2023年12月的十二个月中,四川芙蓉科技的应计比率为0.27。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流大大低于其法定利润,这并不是一件好事。尽管该公司公布了2.784亿加元的利润,但从自由现金流来看,它实际上在去年消耗了2.36亿元人民币。值得注意的是,四川芙蓉科技一年前创造了1.88亿元人民币的正FCF,因此至少他们过去曾这样做过。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

Our Take On Sichuan Furong Technology's Profit Performance

我们对四川芙蓉科技盈利表现的看法

Sichuan Furong Technology's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Sichuan Furong Technology's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, Sichuan Furong Technology has 3 warning signs (and 2 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

四川芙蓉科技过去十二个月的应计比率表明现金转换率不理想,从我们对收益的看法来看,这是负数。因此,在我们看来,四川芙蓉科技的真正潜在盈利能力实际上可能低于其法定利润。不幸的是,在过去的十二个月中,其每股收益有所下降。本文的目标是评估我们在多大程度上可以依靠法定收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多需要考虑的地方。请记住,在分析股票时,值得注意所涉及的风险。例如,四川芙蓉科技有3个警告标志(其中2个不容忽视),我们认为你应该知道。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Sichuan Furong Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

这份报告只研究了揭示四川芙蓉科技利润性质的单一因素。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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