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Is Hunan Kaimeite Gases (SZSE:002549) A Risky Investment?

Is Hunan Kaimeite Gases (SZSE:002549) A Risky Investment?

湖南凯美特气体(深圳证券交易所:002549)是风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  04/29 22:28

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Hunan Kaimeite Gases Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002549) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。重要的是,湖南凯美特气体有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002549)确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务为企业提供帮助,直到企业难以用新的资本或自由现金流还清债务。资本主义的重要部分是 “创造性破坏” 的过程,在这个过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。尽管这种情况不太常见,但我们经常看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以低价筹集资金。当然,债务的好处是它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它用高回报率进行再投资的能力取代了公司的稀释时。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

How Much Debt Does Hunan Kaimeite Gases Carry?

湖南凯美特气体背负了多少债务?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Hunan Kaimeite Gases had CN¥867.2m of debt, up from CN¥811.7m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥1.70b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥830.2m.

如下所示,截至2024年3月底,湖南凯美特气体的债务为8.672亿元人民币,高于去年同期的8.117亿元人民币。点击图片查看更多细节。但是,它确实有17.0亿元的现金抵消了这一点,净现金为8.302亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002549 Debt to Equity History April 30th 2024
SZSE: 002549 2024 年 4 月 30 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Hunan Kaimeite Gases' Balance Sheet?

湖南凯美特燃气的资产负债表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hunan Kaimeite Gases had liabilities of CN¥991.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥166.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.70b in cash and CN¥81.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥620.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,湖南凯美特气体的负债为9.916亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为1.668亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有17.0亿元的现金和8,120万元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出6.202亿元人民币 负债。

This surplus suggests that Hunan Kaimeite Gases has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Hunan Kaimeite Gases boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hunan Kaimeite Gases can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

这种盈余表明湖南凯美特气体的资产负债表比较保守,可以毫不费力地消除债务。简而言之,湖南凯美特气体拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定湖南凯美特气体能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Over 12 months, Hunan Kaimeite Gases made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥575m, which is a fall of 27%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

在过去的12个月中,湖南凯美特气体的息税前利润水平出现亏损,收入降至5.75亿元人民币,下降27%。坦率地说,这并不是一个好兆头。

So How Risky Is Hunan Kaimeite Gases?

那么湖南凯美特气体的风险有多大?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Hunan Kaimeite Gases lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥110m of cash and made a loss of CN¥92m. Given it only has net cash of CN¥830.2m, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Hunan Kaimeite Gases that you should be aware of.

从统计学上讲,亏损的公司比赚钱的公司风险更大。事实是,在过去的十二个月中,湖南凯美特气体的息税前收益(EBIT)亏损。事实上,在那段时间里,它烧毁了1.1亿加元的现金,损失了9.2亿元人民币。鉴于其净现金仅为8.302亿元人民币,如果不能很快达到收支平衡,该公司可能需要筹集更多资金。尽管其资产负债表看起来足够流动,但如果一家公司不定期产生自由现金流,债务总是会让我们有点紧张。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,我们已经确定了湖南凯美特气体的1个警告信号,你应该注意这一点。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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