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Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product (SZSE:300952)

Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product (SZSE:300952)

疲软的法定收入可能无法说明江苏恒辉安全产品的全部情况(SZSE: 300952)
Simply Wall St ·  04/28 20:05

A lackluster earnings announcement from Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300952) last week didn't sink the stock price. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

江苏恒辉安全用品有限公司(SZSE: 300952)上周公布的财报乏善可陈,但并未使股价下跌。我们的分析表明,除了疲软的利润数字外,投资者还应意识到这些数字中的其他一些潜在弱点。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:300952 Earnings and Revenue History April 29th 2024
SZSE: 300952 2024 年 4 月 29 日的收益和收入历史记录

Zooming In On Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product's Earnings

放大江苏汉沃安全产品的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

正如金融迷已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。

Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product has an accrual ratio of 0.23 for the year to March 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥159m despite its profit of CN¥115.5m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥159m, this year, indicates high risk.

截至2024年3月的一年中,江苏恒辉安全产品的应计比率为0.23。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流大大低于其法定利润,这并不是一件好事。在过去的十二个月里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流,尽管利润为1.155亿元人民币,但流出量仍为1.59亿元人民币,如上所述。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑其今年1.59亿元人民币的现金消耗是否表明存在高风险。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

Our Take On Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product's Profit Performance

我们对江苏恒辉安全产品利润表现的看法

Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product at this point in time. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product, and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

去年,江苏恒辉安全产品没有将其大部分利润转化为自由现金流,一些投资者可能认为这种情况相当不理想。因此,我们认为可能是江苏恒辉安全产品的法定利润要好于其基础盈利能力。另一个坏消息是,其每股收益在去年有所下降。当然,我们只是在分析其收益时才浮出水面;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但考虑江苏恒辉安全产品目前面临的风险同样重要。在投资风险方面,我们已经确定了江苏恒辉安全产品的1个警告信号,了解这应该是您投资过程的一部分。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Jiangsu Hanvo Safety Product's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

今天,我们放大了单一数据点,以更好地了解江苏恒辉安全产品利润的性质。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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