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Town Ray Holdings' (HKG:1692) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear

Town Ray Holdings' (HKG:1692) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear

Town Ray Holdings(HKG: 1692)的软收益实际上比看起来要好
Simply Wall St ·  04/26 19:37

Shareholders appeared unconcerned with Town Ray Holdings Limited's (HKG:1692) lackluster earnings report last week. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

股东们似乎对天瑞控股有限公司(HKG: 1692)上周表现乏善可陈的收益报告漠不关心。我们认为,较疲软的标题数字可能会被一些积极的潜在因素所抵消。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1692 Earnings and Revenue History April 26th 2024
SEHK: 1692 2024 年 4 月 26 日的收益和收入记录

Examining Cashflow Against Town Ray Holdings' Earnings

将现金流与Town Ray Holdings的收益对比研究

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

许多投资者还没有听说过现金流的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利润的有用指标。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然正应计比率表明非现金利润达到一定水平不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Town Ray Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of -0.29. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of HK$183m, well over the HK$122.2m it reported in profit. Town Ray Holdings did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie.

在截至2023年12月的十二个月中,Town Ray Holdings的应计比率为-0.29。这表明其自由现金流大大超过了其法定利润。事实上,在过去的十二个月中,该公司报告的自由现金流为1.83亿港元,远远超过其公布的1.222亿港元的利润。Town Ray Holdings的自由现金流确实同比下降,这并不理想,就像辛普森没有场地管理员威利的剧集一样。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Town Ray Holdings.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对Town Ray Holdings的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Town Ray Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对Town Ray Holdings的利润表现的看法

Happily for shareholders, Town Ray Holdings produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Town Ray Holdings' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 24% per year over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into Town Ray Holdings, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Town Ray Holdings you should be aware of.

令股东高兴的是,Town Ray Holdings产生了充足的自由现金流来支持其法定利润数字。正因为如此,我们认为Town Ray Holdings的基础盈利潜力与法定利润看上去一样好,甚至可能更好!最重要的是,在过去三年中,其每股收益以每年24%的速度增长。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解公司,必须考虑的不仅仅是上述因素。如果你想更深入地了解Town Ray Holdings,你还需要研究它目前面临的风险。一个很好的例子:我们发现了你应该注意的Town Ray Holdings的1个警告标志。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Town Ray Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

这份报告只研究了揭示Town Ray Holdings利润性质的单一因素。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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