share_log

Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Shan Dong Lu Bei Chemical Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600727) Mixed Fundamentals?

Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Shan Dong Lu Bei Chemical Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600727) Mixed Fundamentals?

市场对山东鲁北化工有限公司的容忍度低吗, Ltd (SHSE: 600727) 基本面好坏参半?
Simply Wall St ·  04/16 19:48

Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd (SHSE:600727) has had a rough three months with its share price down 19%. It is possible that the markets have ignored the company's differing financials and decided to lean-in to the negative sentiment. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. In this article, we decided to focus on Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd's ROE.

山东鲁北化工有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:600727)经历了艰难的三个月,其股价下跌了19%。市场可能忽视了该公司不同的财务状况,决定倾向于负面情绪。基本面通常决定市场结果,因此研究公司的财务状况是有意义的。在本文中,我们决定重点关注山东鲁北化工有限公司的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。换句话说,它是衡量公司股东提供的资本回报率的盈利比率。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,山东鲁北化工有限公司的投资回报率为:

4.7% = CN¥157m ÷ CN¥3.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

4.7% = 1.57亿元人民币 ÷ 33亿元人民币(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。另一种思考方式是,公司每拥有价值1元人民币的股权,就能获得0.05元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd's Earnings Growth And 4.7% ROE

山东鲁北化工有限公司的收益增长和4.7%的投资回报率

It is hard to argue that Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd's ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 7.1%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 17% seen by Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

很难说山东鲁北化工有限公司的投资回报率本身就非常好。不仅如此,即使与7.1%的行业平均水平相比,该公司的投资回报率也完全不引人注目。因此,说山东鲁北化工有限公司五年净收入下降17%可能是其投资回报率降低所致,这可能没有错。我们认为,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如,该公司的派息率非常高,或者面临竞争压力。

However, when we compared Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 11% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,当我们将山东鲁北化工有限公司的增长与行业的增长进行比较时,我们发现,尽管该公司的收益一直在萎缩,但同期该行业的收益增长了11%。这非常令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600727 Past Earnings Growth April 16th 2024
SHSE: 600727 过去的收益增长 2024 年 4 月 16 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着呢。如果你想知道山东路北ChemicallTD的估值,可以看看这个衡量其市盈率与行业相比的指标。

Is Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

山东鲁北化工有限公司是否在有效使用其留存收益?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 38% (that is, a retention ratio of 62%), the fact that Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

尽管正常的三年派息率中位数为38%(即留存率为62%),但山东鲁北化工有限公司的收益萎缩这一事实令人费解。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些阻力。

Additionally, Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd has paid dividends over a period of three years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

此外,山东鲁北化工有限公司已在三年内派发了股息,这意味着无论收益如何萎缩,该公司的管理层都相当专注于维持股息支付。

Summary

摘要

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 2 risks we have identified for Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd visit our risks dashboard for free.

总的来说,我们对山东鲁北化工有限公司有喜忧参半的感觉。尽管鉴于投资回报率低,它似乎保留了大部分利润,但投资者毕竟可能无法从所有这些再投资中受益。低收入增长表明我们的理论是正确的。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。要了解我们为山东鲁北化工有限公司确定的两种风险,请免费访问我们的风险仪表板。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发