With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.5x in the Interactive Media and Services industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Cars.com Inc.'s (NYSE:CARS) P/S ratio of 1.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
What Does Cars.com's Recent Performance Look Like?
Cars.com could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Cars.com's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Cars.com's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 5.4% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 26% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 5.6% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 12% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it interesting that Cars.com is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Given that Cars.com's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Cars.com (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Cars.com, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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