Yintai Gold Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000975) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 49% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, Yintai Gold may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 40.5x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 30x and even P/E's lower than 19x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Recent times have been advantageous for Yintai Gold as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Yintai Gold will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
How Is Yintai Gold's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Yintai Gold's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 27% last year. As a result, it also grew EPS by 15% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 28% per year as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 20% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Yintai Gold's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
Yintai Gold shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Yintai Gold maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Yintai Gold you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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