Alvotech (NASDAQ:ALVO) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 28% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 14% share price drop.
Even after such a large drop in price, Alvotech may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 34.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 13.8x and even P/S lower than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Alvotech's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times haven't been great for Alvotech as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
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How Is Alvotech's Revenue Growth Trending?
Alvotech's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 9.8% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 34% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 110% per year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 164% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's alarming that Alvotech's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
Alvotech's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've concluded that Alvotech currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Alvotech (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Alvotech, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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