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Kuaijishan Shaoxing Rice Wine Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:601579) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

Kuaijishan Shaoxing Rice Wine Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:601579) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

会稽山绍兴黄酒有限公司's(SHSE: 601579)财务状况太模糊了,无法与当前的股价势头联系起来:该股将面临什么?
Simply Wall St ·  04/02 18:43

Kuaijishan Shaoxing Rice Wine (SHSE:601579) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 10% over the last month. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. In this article, we decided to focus on Kuaijishan Shaoxing Rice Wine's ROE.

快吉山绍兴黄酒(SHSE: 601579)在股市上表现良好,其股票比上个月大幅上涨了10%。但是该公司的关键财务指标似乎各不相同,这使我们质疑该公司目前的股价势头是否可以维持。在这篇文章中,我们决定重点关注快鸡山绍兴黄酒的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。简而言之,它衡量公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Kuaijishan Shaoxing Rice Wine is:

因此,根据上述公式,会稽山绍兴黄酒的投资回报率为:

4.6% = CN¥168m ÷ CN¥3.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

4.6% = 1.68亿元人民币 ÷ 37亿元人民币(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的利润。这意味着,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,公司就会产生0.05元人民币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。

Kuaijishan Shaoxing Rice Wine's Earnings Growth And 4.6% ROE

快鸡山绍兴黄酒的收益增长和4.6%的投资回报率

It is quite clear that Kuaijishan Shaoxing Rice Wine's ROE is rather low. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 13%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Therefore, the disappointing ROE therefore provides a background to Kuaijishan Shaoxing Rice Wine's very little net income growth of 3.1% over the past five years.

很明显,快吉山绍兴黄酒的投资回报率相当低。即使与13%的行业平均投资回报率相比,该公司的投资回报率也相当惨淡。因此,令人失望的投资回报率为快鸡山绍兴黄酒在过去五年中净收入增长微乎其微,仅为3.1%提供了背景。

As a next step, we compared Kuaijishan Shaoxing Rice Wine's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 16% in the same period.

下一步,我们将快吉山绍兴黄酒的净收入增长与行业进行了比较,并失望地看到该公司的增长低于同期16%的行业平均增长。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:601579 Past Earnings Growth April 2nd 2024
SHSE: 601579 过去的收益增长 2024 年 4 月 2 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Kuaijishan Shaoxing Rice Wine's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。无论如何,投资者应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是暗淡的未来。如果你想知道快吉山绍兴米酒的估值,可以看看这个衡量其市盈率与行业相比的指标。

Is Kuaijishan Shaoxing Rice Wine Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

快集山绍兴黄酒是否有效地使用了其留存收益?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 31% (or a retention ratio of 69% over the past three years, Kuaijishan Shaoxing Rice Wine has seen very little growth in earnings as we saw above. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

尽管快鸡山绍兴黄酒的三年派息率中位数正常为31%(在过去三年中留存率为69%),但正如我们上面所看到的,快鸡山绍兴黄酒的收益几乎没有增长。因此,可能还有其他一些原因可以解释这方面的不足。例如,业务可能会下滑。

In addition, Kuaijishan Shaoxing Rice Wine has been paying dividends over a period of nine years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,快吉山绍兴黄酒已经分红了九年,这表明即使以业务增长为代价,维持股息支付对管理层来说也更为重要。

Summary

摘要

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Kuaijishan Shaoxing Rice Wine. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 1 risk we have identified for Kuaijishan Shaoxing Rice Wine visit our risks dashboard for free.

总的来说,我们对快吉山绍兴黄酒有喜忧参半的感觉。尽管该公司的利润保留率确实很高,但其低回报率可能会阻碍其收益增长。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。要了解我们为快吉山绍兴黄酒确定的1种风险,请免费访问我们的风险仪表板。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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